Geelong Venom vs Canberra Capitals Prediction & Odds

NBL Women Saturday, October 31, 2026Sat, Oct 31 Start04:00ET Round 3

Geelong VenomHome · 1.60

6817191517

Canberra CapitalsAway · 2-1 · 4th · 2.08

7726231117

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Geelong Venom 17 19 15 17

Canberra Capitals 26 23 11 17

FT Geelong Arena · AustraliaGeelong Arena · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

CAN +10.5 1.32 61%

Canberra Capitals +10.5 on the spread edge −8.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won CAN +10.5 1.32 Canberra Capitals +10.5 on the spread Confidence61% model 60.8% · market 69.3% edge −8.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.55 54.4% 59.0% −4.6% 55% Lost

Total points U166.5 1.39 75.9% 65.4% +10.5% 76% Won

Point spread CAN +10.5 1.32 60.8% 69.3% −8.5% 61% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Geelong Venom6877

Canberra Capitals7776

Total 153 actual 145

Winning margin GEE by 1 actual CAN by 9

Chance to win GEE 54% CAN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Geelong Venom6877

Canberra Capitals7776

Total 153 Margin GEE by 1 Win GEE 54% Actual 145 · CAN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Geelong Venom large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Canberra Capitals

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Geelong Venom vs Canberra Capitals

Geelong Venom Canberra Capitals

Last 24 and 23 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Geelong Venom 3-2

Oct 24: Geelong Venom 74, Southside 69. Won. Odds: Geelong Venom 1.42, Southside 2.45.
Oct 15: Tasmania Jewels 103, Geelong Venom 90. Lost. Odds: Tasmania Jewels 1.86, Geelong Venom 1.81.
Feb 6: Canberra Capitals 76, Geelong Venom 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Sydney 76, Geelong Venom 89. Won. No odds on record.
Jan 30: Geelong Venom 80, Bendigo 73. Won. No odds on record.

Canberra Capitals 2-3

Oct 23: Sydney 82, Canberra Capitals 70. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.24, Canberra Capitals 3.20.
Oct 17: Canberra Capitals 94, Bendigo 92. Won. Odds: Canberra Capitals 2.20, Bendigo 1.42.
Feb 6: Canberra Capitals 76, Geelong Venom 67. Won. No odds on record.
Feb 3: Canberra Capitals 75, Southside 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Jan 31: Townsville 78, Canberra Capitals 62. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GEE moneyline	1.54	moved up 1.60
CAN moneyline	2.22	moved down 2.08
Total points	159.5	159.5
GEE spread	−3.5	−3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBL Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Perth Lynx	2	2	0	1.000	176	165	+11
2	Sydney	5	4	1	.800	429	381	+48
3	Tasmania Jewels	3	2	1	.667	273	266	+7
4	Canberra Capitals	3	2	1	.667	241	242	−1
5	Townsville	4	2	2	.500	337	312	+25
6	Geelong Venom	4	2	2	.500	309	319	−10
7	Adelaide Lightning	4	1	3	.250	299	345	−46
8	Southside	4	1	3	.250	307	309	−2
9	Bendigo	3	0	3	.000	230	262	−32

Playoffs: Semi-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Geelong Venom host Canberra Capitals in the NBL Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.