Gdessa Barreiro vs Quinta Dos Lombos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 135 Margin QDL by 3 Win QDL 59% Actual 144 · QDL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Gdessa Barreiro vs Quinta Dos Lombos
Last 5 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gdessa Barreiro 1, Quinta Dos Lombos 3.
- Average total 131.8 points per meeting
- Over 136.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting QDL by 8 Apr 25, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 25, 2026 LFB Women Quinta Dos Lombos 80–72 Gdessa Barreiro 152 pts
- Apr 18, 2026 LFB Women Gdessa Barreiro 53–58 Quinta Dos Lombos 111 pts
- Mar 1, 2026 LFB Women Quinta Dos Lombos 57–60 Gdessa Barreiro 117 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 LFB Women Gdessa Barreiro 63–84 Quinta Dos Lombos 147 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Benfica 73, Gdessa Barreiro 31. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.25, Gdessa Barreiro 3.50.
- Apr 25: Quinta Dos Lombos 80, Gdessa Barreiro 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Gdessa Barreiro 53, Quinta Dos Lombos 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Gdessa Barreiro 78, Uniao Sportiva 70. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Gdessa Barreiro 84, Uniao Sportiva 80. Won. No odds on record.
- May 14: Quinta Dos Lombos 67, Benfica 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Benfica 59, Quinta Dos Lombos 73. Won. No odds on record.
- May 8: Benfica 73, Quinta Dos Lombos 69. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Quinta Dos Lombos 80, Benfica 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 2: Quinta Dos Lombos 65, Benfica 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Gdessa Barreiro coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Quinta Dos Lombos dropped from 1.30 to 1.20 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 134.5 to 136.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 21.3 — Gdessa Barreiro −7.2 per 100 possessions, Quinta Dos Lombos +14.1.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Quinta Dos Lombos.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GDE moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 3.90 |
| QDL moneyline | 1.30 | moved down 1.20 |
| Total points | 134.5 | moved up 136.5 |
| GDE spread | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LFB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 391 | 347 | +44 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 329 | +80 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 372 | 308 | +64 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 359 | 309 | +50 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 376 | 378 | −2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 372 | 406 | −34 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 391 | +1 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 343 | 359 | −16 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 371 | 388 | −17 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 329 | 374 | −45 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 326 | 377 | −51 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 324 | 398 | −74 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gdessa Barreiro host Quinta Dos Lombos in the LFB Women on Monday, October 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.