Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas prediction
Gargzdai
18
19
20
20
Zalgiris Kaunas
23
21
28
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 50%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Gargzdai7780Zalgiris Kaunas9897Gargzdai7780Zalgiris Kaunas9897Total 177 Margin ZAL by 17 Win ZAL 83% Actual 175 · ZAL won
Gargzdai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zalgiris Kaunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas
Gargzdai
Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 10 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Gargzdai at home, last 6 games · Zalgiris Kaunas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gargzdai 0, Zalgiris Kaunas 4.
- Average total 158.8 points per meeting
- Over 168.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAL by 8 Apr 22, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 22, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 85–77 Gargzdai 162 pts
- Feb 15, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 63–69 Zalgiris Kaunas 132 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 108–71 Gargzdai 179 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 LKL Gargzdai 73–89 Zalgiris Kaunas 162 pts
Last five games
Gargzdai
3-2 - May 23: Gargzdai 74, Neptunas 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Neptunas 100, Gargzdai 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Gargzdai 103, Rytas 98. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Neptunas 91, Gargzdai 97. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Lietkabelis 69, Gargzdai 78. Won. No odds on record.
Zalgiris Kaunas
5-0 - Jun 12: Zalgiris Kaunas 95, Juventus 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 9: Juventus 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 100. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Zalgiris Kaunas 107, Juventus 75. Won. No odds on record.
- May 31: Zalgiris Kaunas 103, Lietkabelis 93. Won. No odds on record.
- May 28: Lietkabelis 75, Zalgiris Kaunas 95. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for Zalgiris Kaunas coming into this game.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- Net rating difference of 8.1 — Gargzdai +5.3 per 100 possessions, Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4.
- 158.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 168.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GAR moneyline | 10.95 | moved down 10.00 |
| ZAL moneyline | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Total points | 168.5 | 168.5 |
| GAR spread · regulation | +17.5 | moved up +20.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris Kaunas |
7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 |
| 2 |  Rytas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 |  Lietkabelis |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 |
| 5 |  Neptunas |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 |
| 6 |  Jonava |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 |
| 8 |  Siauliai |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 |
| 9 |  Taurage |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 |
| 10 |  Nevezis |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gargzdai host Zalgiris Kaunas in the LKL on Thursday, September 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.