Gargzdai vs Neptunas prediction
Gargzdai
18
16
24
29
Neptunas
24
20
27
7
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Gargzdai8787Neptunas7885Gargzdai8787Neptunas7885Total 172 Margin GAR by 2 Win GAR 59% Actual 165 · GAR won
Gargzdai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Neptunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Gargzdai vs Neptunas
Gargzdai
Neptunas
Last 10 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Gargzdai at home, last 6 games · Neptunas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gargzdai 2, Neptunas 3.
- Average total 172.2 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 10 May 23, 2026
Meetings
- May 23, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 74–84 Neptunas 158 pts
- May 21, 2026 LKL Neptunas 100–73 Gargzdai 173 pts
- May 10, 2026 LKL Neptunas 91–97 Gargzdai 188 pts
- Mar 14, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 81–70 Neptunas 151 pts
- Dec 13, 2025 LKL Gargzdai 87–104 Neptunas 191 pts
Last five games
Gargzdai
2-3 - Sep 20: Gargzdai 90, Siauliai 79. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.20, Siauliai 1.57.
- Sep 17: Gargzdai 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 98. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 10.00, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.02.
- May 23: Gargzdai 74, Neptunas 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 21: Neptunas 100, Gargzdai 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 16: Gargzdai 103, Rytas 98. Won. No odds on record.
Neptunas
3-2 - Sep 23: Neptunas 99, Juventus 84. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.57, Juventus 2.20.
- Sep 20: Neptunas 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 93. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 6.60, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.07.
- Jun 13: Lietkabelis 82, Neptunas 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 11: Neptunas 66, Lietkabelis 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 8: Lietkabelis 80, Neptunas 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Gargzdai, 2 for Neptunas.
- Net rating difference of 8.9 — Gargzdai +5.3 per 100 possessions, Neptunas −3.6.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Neptunas.
- 172.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GAR moneyline | 2.40 | moved down 2.19 |
| NEP moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.55 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| GAR spread · regulation | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zalgiris Kaunas |
7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 |
| 2 |  Rytas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 |  Lietkabelis |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 |
| 5 | Neptunas |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 |
| 6 |  Jonava |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 |
| 8 |  Siauliai |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 |
| 9 |  Taurage |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 |
| 10 |  Nevezis |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gargzdai host Neptunas in the LKL on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.