Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Margin GAR by 8 Win GAR 73% Actual 163 · GAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis
Last 10 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Gargzdai at home, last 6 games · Lietkabelis away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Gargzdai 2, Lietkabelis 2.
- Average total 154.5 points per meeting
- Over 166.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAR by 9 May 6, 2026
Meetings
- May 6, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 69–78 Gargzdai 147 pts
- Apr 12, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 64–89 Lietkabelis 153 pts
- Feb 1, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 70–79 Gargzdai 149 pts
- Nov 8, 2025 LKL Gargzdai 80–89 Lietkabelis 169 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Juventus 100, Gargzdai 90. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.42, Gargzdai 2.45.
- Oct 14: Nevezis 86, Gargzdai 101. Won. Odds: Nevezis 2.26, Gargzdai 1.51.
- Oct 11: Taurage 82, Gargzdai 102. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.52, Gargzdai 2.24.
- Oct 6: Gargzdai 79, Jurbarkas 75. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 1.06, Jurbarkas 6.55.
- Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
- Oct 20: Balkan 57, Lietkabelis 64. Won. Odds: Balkan 2.35, Lietkabelis 1.54.
- Oct 17: Nevezis 72, Lietkabelis 73. Won. Odds: Nevezis 2.15, Lietkabelis 1.44.
- Oct 13: Lietkabelis 95, PAOK 86. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 4.11, PAOK 1.21.
- Oct 10: Lietkabelis 65, Jonava 71. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.20, Jonava 3.70.
- Oct 7: BC Roma 92, Lietkabelis 87. Lost. Odds: BC Roma 1.15, Lietkabelis 5.00.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Lietkabelis coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Gargzdai dropped from 2.10 to 1.65 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Gargzdai, 3 for Lietkabelis.
- Over/under moved up from 164.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Gargzdai +5.3 per 100 possessions, Lietkabelis −1.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GAR moneyline | 2.10 | moved down 1.65 |
| LIE moneyline | 1.66 | moved up 2.02 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| GAR spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Gargzdai host Lietkabelis in the LKL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
