Gargzdai vs Jurbarkas Prediction & Odds

King Mindaugas Cup Tuesday, October 6, 2026Tue, Oct 6 Start12:00ET

GargzdaiHome · 1.06

7916291816

JurbarkasAway · 0-2 · 4th · 6.55

7520212410

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Gargzdai 16 29 18 16

Jurbarkas 20 21 24 10

FT Gargzdu arena · LithuaniaGargzdu arena

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U172.5 1.81 59%

Under 172.5 points edge +8.7%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U172.5 1.81 Under 172.5 points Confidence59% model 58.7% · market 50.0% edge +8.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 78.5% 86.3% −7.8% 78% Won

Total points U172.5 1.81 58.7% 50.0% +8.7% 59% Won

Point spread JUR +16.5 1.82 37.7% 50.0% −12.3% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Gargzdai7992

Jurbarkas7576

Total 168 actual 154

Winning margin GAR by 16 actual GAR by 4

Chance to win GAR 79% GAR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Gargzdai7992

Jurbarkas7576

Total 168 Margin GAR by 16 Win GAR 79% Actual 154 · GAR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Gargzdai large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Jurbarkas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Gargzdai vs Jurbarkas

Gargzdai Jurbarkas

Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Gargzdai 3-2

Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
Sep 20: Gargzdai 90, Siauliai 79. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.20, Siauliai 1.57.
Sep 17: Gargzdai 77, Zalgiris Kaunas 98. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 10.00, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.02.
May 23: Gargzdai 74, Neptunas 84. Lost. No odds on record.

Jurbarkas 3-2

Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.
Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Won. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
Apr 7: Jurbarkas 64, Suduva-Mantinga 106. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 3: Suduva-Mantinga 94, Jurbarkas 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 1: Jurbarkas 105, Suduva-Mantinga 98. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
GAR moneyline	1.06	1.06
JUR moneyline	6.70	moved down 6.55
Total points	172.5	172.5
GAR spread	−16.5	−16.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

King Mindaugas Cup standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Gargzdai	3	3	0	1.000	261	239	+22
2	Taurage	2	1	1	.500	159	157	+2
3	Nevezis	3	1	2	.333	255	251	+4
4	Jurbarkas	2	0	2	.000	144	172	−28

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Gargzdai host Jurbarkas in the King Mindaugas Cup on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Gargzdai vs Jurbarkas prediction