Galatasaray vs Bursaspor prediction
Galatasaray
20
21
19
28
Bursaspor
20
25
21
27
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Galatasaray8886Bursaspor9378Galatasaray8886Bursaspor9378Total 164 Margin GAL by 8 Win GAL 72% Actual 181 · BUR won
Galatasaray
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Bursaspor
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Galatasaray vs Bursaspor
Galatasaray
Bursaspor
Last 8 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Galatasaray 1, Bursaspor 1.
- Average total 170.0 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAL by 22 Apr 5, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 5, 2026 Basketbol Süper Ligi Galatasaray 92–70 Bursaspor 162 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Basketbol Süper Ligi Bursaspor 91–87 OT Galatasaray 178 pts · OT
Last five games
Galatasaray
2-3 - Oct 6: Cibona 96, Galatasaray 76. Lost. Odds: Cibona 3.55, Galatasaray 1.27.
- Oct 2: Karsiyaka 78, Galatasaray 71. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Karsiyaka 2.80, Galatasaray 1.36.
- Sep 26: Galatasaray 102, Cayirova 79. Won. Odds: Galatasaray 1.24, Cayirova 3.85.
- May 30: Besiktas 71, Galatasaray 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 28: Galatasaray 78, Besiktas 75. Won. No odds on record.
Bursaspor
2-3 - Oct 3: Bursaspor 69, Turk Telekom 78. Lost. Odds: Bursaspor 3.10, Turk Telekom 1.32.
- Sep 27: Trabzonspor 82, Bursaspor 76. Lost. Odds: Trabzonspor 1.21, Bursaspor 4.20.
- May 10: Karsiyaka 84, Bursaspor 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Esenler Erokspor 82, Bursaspor 83. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bursaspor 91, Buyukcekmece 72. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Bursaspor coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 19.4 — Galatasaray +8.4 per 100 possessions, Bursaspor −11.0.
- 7th vs 15th in the Basketbol Süper Ligi standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| GAL moneyline | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| BUR moneyline | 3.95 | moved down 3.83 |
| Total points | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| GAL spread | −8.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketbol Süper Ligi standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Turk Telekom |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 491 | 430 | +61 |
| 2 |  Bahcesehir Kol. |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 552 | 520 | +32 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahce |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 530 | 498 | +32 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 500 | 492 | +8 |
| 5 |  Esenler Erokspor |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 499 | 503 | −4 |
| 6 |  Anadolu Efes |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 428 | 386 | +42 |
| 7 | Galatasaray |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 475 | +55 |
| 8 |  Karsiyaka |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 485 | 495 | −10 |
| 9 |  Tofas |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 476 | 508 | −32 |
| 10 |  Petkim Spor |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 417 | +1 |
| 11 |  Korfez Basket |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 492 | 507 | −15 |
| 12 | Bordo Bandirma | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 498 | 514 | −16 |
| 13 |  Besiktas |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 413 | 444 | −31 |
| 14 |  Denizli Basket |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 478 | 516 | −38 |
| 15 | Bursaspor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 465 | 507 | −42 |
| 16 |  Cayirova |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 445 | −43 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation - TBL
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Galatasaray host Bursaspor in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.