Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun Prediction & Odds

LNBP Friday, September 25, 2026Fri, Sep 25 Start22:15ET Round 22

Fuerza RegiaHome · 19-9 · 3rd · 1.15

8219232416

El Calor de CancunAway · 9-19 · 12th · 4.70

7416142420

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Fuerza Regia 19 23 24 16

El Calor de Cancun 16 14 24 20

FT Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente · MexicoGimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente · Round 22

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.15 51%

Fuerza Regia to win edge −31.1%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.15 Fuerza Regia to win Confidence51% model 45.8% · market 76.9% edge −31.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.15 45.8% 76.9% −31.1% 51% Won

Total points O173.5 1.74 53.5% 50.3% +3.2% 54% Lost

Point spread ECD +6.5 1.91 51.3% 48.5% +2.8% 53% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fuerza Regia8289

El Calor de Cancun7486

Total 175 actual 156

Winning margin FUE by 3 actual FUE by 8

Chance to win FUE 55% FUE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fuerza Regia8289

El Calor de Cancun7486

Total 175 Margin FUE by 3 Win FUE 55% Actual 156 · FUE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Fuerza Regia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction El Calor de Cancun

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun

Fuerza Regia El Calor de Cancun

Last 30 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Fuerza Regia 4-1

Sep 21: Correcaminos 52, Fuerza Regia 93. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.15, Fuerza Regia 1.31.
Sep 20: Correcaminos 83, Fuerza Regia 94. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.70, Fuerza Regia 1.23.
Sep 16: Fuerza Regia 87, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.46, Mineros 2.50.
Sep 15: Fuerza Regia 100, Mineros 101. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.62, Mineros 2.14.
Sep 11: Santos 74, Fuerza Regia 103. Won. No odds on record.

El Calor de Cancun 1-4

Sep 21: El Calor de Cancun 83, Diablos Rojos 86. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
Sep 20: El Calor de Cancun 86, Diablos Rojos 74. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.02, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
Sep 16: Dorados 97, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.65.
Sep 15: Dorados 91, El Calor de Cancun 89. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.67.
Sep 11: El Calor de Cancun 82, Panteras 86. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FUE moneyline	1.15	1.15
ECD moneyline	4.70	4.70
Total points	173.5	moved up 174.5
FUE spread · regulation	−6.5	moved down −8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Fuerza Regia host El Calor de Cancun in the LNBP on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.