Fuerza Regia vs Dorados prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 171 Margin FUE by 5 Win FUE 64% Actual 156 · FUE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Fuerza Regia vs Dorados
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Fuerza Regia at home, last 14 games · Dorados away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Fuerza Regia 2, Dorados 3.
- Average total 194.2 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FUE by 9 Oct 23, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 23, 2026 LNBP Dorados 97–106 Fuerza Regia 203 pts
- Oct 22, 2026 LNBP Dorados 120–116 OT Fuerza Regia 236 pts · OT
- Oct 18, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 101–90 Dorados 191 pts
- Aug 6, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 86–92 Dorados 178 pts
- Aug 5, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 67–96 Dorados 163 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Fuerza Regia 101, Dorados 90. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.38, Dorados 2.60.
- Oct 7: Soles 75, Fuerza Regia 92. Won. Odds: Soles 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.10.
- Oct 6: Soles 88, Fuerza Regia 86. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.36, Fuerza Regia 2.85.
- Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
- Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Won. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
- Oct 18: Fuerza Regia 101, Dorados 90. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.38, Dorados 2.60.
- Oct 12: Dorados 88, Gambusinos 87. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.24, Gambusinos 3.65.
- Oct 11: Dorados 98, Gambusinos 83. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.40, Gambusinos 2.72.
- Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
- Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Fuerza Regia +6.0 per 100 possessions, Dorados −1.1.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dorados.
- 4-1 in the last five for Dorados.
- 194.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
- 3rd vs 6th in the LNBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FUE moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.40 |
| DOR moneyline | 2.67 | moved down 2.50 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| FUE spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fuerza Regia host Dorados in the LNBP on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.