Fuerza Regia vs Dorados prediction
Fuerza Regia
31
23
25
22
Dorados
15
34
18
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Fuerza Regia10188Dorados9084Fuerza Regia10188Dorados9084Total 172 Margin FUE by 4 Win FUE 63% Actual 191 · FUE won
Fuerza Regia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Dorados
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Fuerza Regia vs Dorados
Fuerza Regia
Dorados
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
Fuerza Regia at home, last 14 games · Dorados away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Fuerza Regia 2, Dorados 3.
- Average total 187.2 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FUE by 9 Oct 23, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 23, 2026 LNBP Dorados 97–106 Fuerza Regia 203 pts
- Oct 22, 2026 LNBP Dorados 120–116 OT Fuerza Regia 236 pts · OT
- Oct 19, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 80–76 Dorados 156 pts
- Aug 6, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 86–92 Dorados 178 pts
- Aug 5, 2026 LNBP Fuerza Regia 67–96 Dorados 163 pts
Last five games
Fuerza Regia
3-2 - Oct 7: Soles 75, Fuerza Regia 92. Won. Odds: Soles 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.10.
- Oct 6: Soles 88, Fuerza Regia 86. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.36, Fuerza Regia 2.85.
- Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.
- Oct 2: Astros 74, Fuerza Regia 77. Won. Odds: Astros 1.65, Fuerza Regia 2.12.
- Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
Dorados
5-0 - Oct 12: Dorados 88, Gambusinos 87. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.24, Gambusinos 3.65.
- Oct 11: Dorados 98, Gambusinos 83. Won. Odds: Dorados 1.40, Gambusinos 2.72.
- Oct 7: Freseros 77, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 3.85, Dorados 1.22.
- Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
- Oct 2: Panteras 81, Dorados 83. Won. Odds: Panteras 1.39, Dorados 2.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Dorados coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 171.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Fuerza Regia +6.0 per 100 possessions, Dorados −1.1.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Dorados.
- 187.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FUE moneyline | 1.41 | moved down 1.38 |
| DOR moneyline | 2.70 | moved down 2.60 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| FUE spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 |  Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 | Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 |  Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 | Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 |  Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 |  Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 |  El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 |  Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fuerza Regia host Dorados in the LNBP on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.