Froya vs Baerum prediction
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin FRO by 14 Win FRO 74% Actual 181 · FRO won
Froya vs Baerum
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Froya 4, Baerum 0.
- Average total 168.3 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRO by 12 Nov 1, 2026
Meetings
- Nov 1, 2026 BLNO Froya 95–83 Baerum 178 pts
- Jan 18, 2026 BLNO Froya 90–89 Baerum 179 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 BLNO Froya 82–73 Baerum 155 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 BLNO Baerum 73–88 Froya 161 pts
Last five games
- Sep 27: Froya 121, TNT Towers 60. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 20: Centrum Tigers 47, Froya 83. Won. Odds: Centrum Tigers 10.00, Froya 1.02.
- Sep 18: Tromso 74, Froya 100. Won. Odds: Tromso 3.40, Froya 1.27.
- Mar 15: Centrum Tigers 85, Froya 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 10: Froya 75, Centrum Tigers 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Tromso 115, Baerum 75. Lost. Odds: Tromso 2.17, Baerum 1.61.
- Sep 29: Baerum 84, Kongsberg Miners 103. Lost. Odds: Baerum 12.00, Kongsberg Miners 1.01.
- Sep 26: Nidaros Jets 82, Baerum 96. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 20: Baerum 93, Ammerud 103. Lost. Odds: Baerum 2.95, Ammerud 1.35.
- Mar 16: Baerum 67, Kongsberg Miners 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Froya coming into this game.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Froya.
- −15.3 points away — Baerum averaged 94.8 at home and 79.5 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Baerum.
- 168.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAE moneyline | 7.10 | moved up 21.00 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 175.5 |
| FRO spread | −24.5 | moved down −28.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BLNO standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 863 | 671 | +192 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 797 | 699 | +98 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 682 | 530 | +152 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 656 | 509 | +147 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 758 | 573 | +185 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 875 | 839 | +36 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 775 | 908 | −133 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 545 | 619 | −74 | |
| 9 | 11 | 1 | 10 | .091 | 789 | 1134 | −345 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .000 | 609 | 867 | −258 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Froya host Baerum in the BLNO on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

