Fribourg vs Derthona Basket Prediction & Odds

EuroCup Women Thursday, October 15, 2026Thu, Oct 15 Start13:30ET Round 1

FribourgHome · 0-3 · 4th · 8.20

601161627

Derthona BasketAway · 1.05

7125131221

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Fribourg 11 6 16 27

Derthona Basket 25 13 12 21

FT Salle Saint-LèonardSalle Saint-Lèonard · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O143.5 1.59 60%

Over 143.5 points edge +0.3%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O143.5 1.59 Over 143.5 points Confidence60% model 59.8% · market 59.5% edge +0.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 5.52 38.0% 18.6% +19.4% 51% Lost

Total points O143.5 1.59 59.8% 59.5% +0.3% 60% Lost

Point spread FRI +14.5 1.82 63.1% 50.0% +13.1% 56% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fribourg6075

Derthona Basket7174

Total 149 actual 131

Winning margin FRI by 1 actual DER by 11

Chance to win FRI 53% DER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fribourg6075

Derthona Basket7174

Total 149 Margin FRI by 1 Win FRI 53% Actual 131 · DER won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 16+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Fribourg large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Derthona Basket

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Fribourg vs Derthona Basket

Fribourg Derthona Basket

Last 10 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Fribourg 3-2

Oct 11: Helios VS 85, Fribourg 106. Won. Odds: Helios VS 8.20, Fribourg 1.05.
Oct 7: Fribourg 88, BBC Troistorrents 51. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.03, BBC Troistorrents 8.50.
Oct 2: Baden 76, Fribourg 70. Lost. Odds: Baden 2.54, Fribourg 1.44.
Sep 27: Fribourg 86, Zurich 60. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.05, Zurich 7.25.
Apr 22: Nyon 89, Fribourg 82. Lost. No odds on record.

Derthona Basket 3-2

Oct 11: Brixia 58, Derthona Basket 98. Won. Odds: Brixia 5.91, Derthona Basket 1.08.
Oct 4: Derthona Basket 75, Battipaglia 54. Won. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.03, Battipaglia 7.59.
Apr 11: Derthona Basket 49, Schio 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 7: Schio 85, Derthona Basket 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 29: San Giovanni 70, Derthona Basket 78. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FRI moneyline	2.76	moved up 8.20
DER moneyline	1.34	moved down 1.05
Total points	147.5	147.5
FRI spread	+14.5	+14.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

EuroCup Women standings

Regular Season · Group H

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Derthona Basket	3	3	0	6	217	192	+25
2	AZS Poznan	3	2	1	5	228	218	+10
3	Landerneau Bretagne	3	1	2	4	221	213	+8
4	Fribourg	3	0	3	3	203	246	−43

Playoffs: 1/16-finals
Ranking of third-placed teams

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Fribourg host Derthona Basket in the EuroCup Women on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Fribourg vs Derthona Basket prediction