Fribourg vs AZS Poznan prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 139 Margin FRI by 1 Win FRI 53% Actual 167 · POZ won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Fribourg vs AZS Poznan
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Fribourg at home, last 6 games · AZS Poznan away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 25: Fribourg 71, Nyon 64. Won. Odds: Fribourg 1.50, Nyon 2.20.
- Oct 22: Landerneau Bretagne 88, Fribourg 63. Lost. Odds: Landerneau Bretagne 1.01, Fribourg 7.90.
- Oct 18: Geneve 87, Fribourg 94. After overtime. Won. Odds: Geneve 3.05, Fribourg 1.26.
- Oct 15: Fribourg 60, Derthona Basket 71. Lost. Odds: Fribourg 8.20, Derthona Basket 1.05.
- Oct 11: Helios VS 85, Fribourg 106. Won. Odds: Helios VS 8.20, Fribourg 1.05.
- Oct 25: AZS Poznan 97, Jelenia Gora 38. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.01, Jelenia Gora 8.00.
- Oct 22: Derthona Basket 73, AZS Poznan 64. Lost. Odds: Derthona Basket 1.57, AZS Poznan 2.12.
- Oct 18: Lublin 80, AZS Poznan 71. Lost. Odds: Lublin 1.55, AZS Poznan 2.15.
- Oct 14: AZS Poznan 77, Landerneau Bretagne 65. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.47, Landerneau Bretagne 2.07.
- Oct 10: AZS Poznan 72, Sosnowiec 56. Won. Odds: AZS Poznan 1.10, Sosnowiec 5.37.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 143.5 to 139.5 since it was first published.
- 4th vs 2nd in the EuroCup Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRI moneyline | 4.96 | moved down 4.65 |
| POZ moneyline | 1.12 | moved down 1.10 |
| Total points | 143.5 | moved down 139.5 |
| FRI spread | +10.5 | +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup Women standings
Regular Season · Group H
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derthona Basket | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 217 | 192 | +25 |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 228 | 218 | +10 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 221 | 213 | +8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 203 | 246 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/16-finals
- Ranking of third-placed teams
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fribourg host AZS Poznan in the EuroCup Women on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.