Fribourg Olympic vs Neftchi IK prediction
Fribourg Olympic
15
20
25
18
Neftchi IK
18
13
22
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Fribourg Olympic7886Neftchi IK7376Fribourg Olympic7886Neftchi IK7376Total 162 Margin FRI by 10 Win FRI 70% Actual 151 · FRI won
Fribourg Olympic
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Neftchi IK
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Fribourg Olympic vs Neftchi IK
Fribourg Olympic
Neftchi IK
Last 12 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Fribourg Olympic
2-3 - Oct 17: Zurich 43, Fribourg Olympic 89. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 13: Fribourg Olympic 65, Mykonos 80. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 2.80, Mykonos 1.25.
- Oct 10: Fribourg Olympic 116, Lugano Tigers 80. Won. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 1.04, Lugano Tigers 5.00.
- Oct 7: CSM Oradea 93, Fribourg Olympic 67. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.11, Fribourg Olympic 5.25.
- Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
Neftchi IK
1-4 - Oct 14: Neftchi IK 94, VEF Riga 110. Lost. Odds: Neftchi IK 5.59, VEF Riga 1.13.
- Oct 6: Mykonos 78, Neftchi IK 58. Lost. Odds: Mykonos 1.06, Neftchi IK 7.69.
- Sep 30: Parnu 73, Neftchi IK 61. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.55, Neftchi IK 2.27.
- Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Neftchi IK coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Neftchi IK, 3 for Fribourg Olympic.
- Net rating difference of 23.8 — Fribourg Olympic +11.2 per 100 possessions, Neftchi IK −12.6.
- 5th vs 6th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRI moneyline | 1.35 | moved down 1.30 |
| NEF moneyline | 2.80 | moved up 3.10 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 161.5 |
| FRI spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group H
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mykonos |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 335 | 295 | +40 |
| 2 |  CSM Oradea |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 353 | 313 | +40 |
| 3 |  VEF Riga |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 388 | 360 | +28 |
| 4 |  Lok. Plovdiv |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 341 | 344 | −3 |
| 5 | Fribourg Olympic |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 293 | 341 | −48 |
| 6 | Neftchi IK |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 365 | −57 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fribourg Olympic host Neftchi IK in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.