Fribourg Olympic vs Lugano Tigers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 154 Margin FRI by 12 Win FRI 73% Actual 196 · FRI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Fribourg Olympic vs Lugano Tigers
Last 12 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Fribourg Olympic 3, Lugano Tigers 0.
- Average total 177.3 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRI by 42 Feb 21, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 21, 2026 SB League Lugano Tigers 58–100 Fribourg Olympic 158 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 SB League Fribourg Olympic 117–75 Lugano Tigers 192 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 SB League Lugano Tigers 76–106 Fribourg Olympic 182 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: CSM Oradea 93, Fribourg Olympic 67. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.11, Fribourg Olympic 5.25.
- Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
- Sep 30: BBC Monthey 73, Fribourg Olympic 78. Won. Odds: BBC Monthey 21.00, Fribourg Olympic –.
- Sep 27: Fribourg Olympic 75, Neuchatel 68. Won. Odds: Fribourg Olympic –, Neuchatel 21.00.
- Sep 16: Fribourg Olympic 85, Batumi 86. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 1.10, Batumi 6.10.
- Oct 4: Lugano Tigers 70, Sdent BBC Nyon 77. Lost. Odds: Lugano Tigers 2.52, Sdent BBC Nyon 1.48.
- Sep 30: Neuchatel 69, Lugano Tigers 61. Lost. Odds: Neuchatel 1.65, Lugano Tigers 2.15.
- Sep 27: Lugano Tigers 94, BBC Monthey 72. Won. Odds: Lugano Tigers 1.67, BBC Monthey 2.12.
- Apr 4: SAM Massagno 107, Lugano Tigers 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Regio Basel 98, Lugano Tigers 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Lugano Tigers dropped from 7.80 to 5.00 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Lugano Tigers, 2 for Fribourg Olympic.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Fribourg Olympic.
- Over/under moved down from 160.5 to 158.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 29.1 — Fribourg Olympic +11.2 per 100 possessions, Lugano Tigers −17.9.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRI moneyline | 1.05 | moved down 1.04 |
| LUG moneyline | 7.80 | moved down 5.00 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved down 158.5 |
| FRI spread | −20.5 | moved up −19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 660 | 414 | +246 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 601 | 459 | +142 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 642 | 549 | +93 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 594 | 536 | +58 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 594 | 544 | +50 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 537 | −60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 557 | 615 | −58 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 524 | 619 | −95 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 472 | 620 | −148 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 412 | 640 | −228 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fribourg Olympic host Lugano Tigers in the SB League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.