Freseros vs Panteras Prediction & Odds — Sep 25

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LNBP Friday, September 25, 2026Fri, Sep 25 Start22:00ET Round 22

FreserosHome · 9-19 · 13th · 2.52

8728271220

PanterasAway · 19-9 · 4th · 1.47

9426232223

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Freseros 28 27 12 20

Panteras 26 23 22 23

FT Inforum Irapuato · MexicoInforum Irapuato · Round 22

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

2 1.70 80%

Panteras to win edge +10.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 2 1.70 Panteras to win Confidence80% model 66.9% · market 56.2% edge +10.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.70 66.9% 56.2% +10.7% 80% Won

Total points U178.5 1.65 66.7% 50.3% +16.4% 62% Lost

Point spread PAN -2.5 1.80 60.7% 48.5% +12.2% 69% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Freseros8782

Panteras9488

Total 170 actual 181

Winning margin PAN by 6 actual PAN by 7

Chance to win PAN 67% PAN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Freseros8782

Panteras9488

Total 170 Margin PAN by 6 Win PAN 67% Actual 181 · PAN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Freseros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Panteras

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Freseros vs Panteras

Freseros Panteras

Last 26 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Freseros 2-3

Sep 21: Abejas 57, Freseros 63. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.42, Freseros 2.65.
Sep 20: Abejas 97, Freseros 80. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.60, Freseros 2.20.
Sep 15: Freseros 63, Soles 92. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.22, Soles 1.60.
Sep 14: Freseros 73, Soles 85. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.02, Soles 1.70.
Sep 11: Lobos Plateados 86, Freseros 90. Won. No odds on record.

Panteras 3-2

Sep 21: Soles 76, Panteras 77. Won. Odds: Soles 1.45, Panteras 2.50.
Sep 20: Soles 77, Panteras 67. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.35, Panteras 2.95.
Sep 17: Panteras 83, Astros 98. Lost. Odds: Panteras 2.62, Astros 1.44.
Sep 16: Panteras 95, Astros 83. Won. Odds: Panteras 2.07, Astros 1.67.
Sep 11: El Calor de Cancun 82, Panteras 86. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FRE moneyline	2.02	moved up 2.52
PAN moneyline	1.70	moved down 1.47
Total points	178.5	moved down 177.5
FRE spread · regulation	+2.5	moved up +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Freseros host Panteras in the LNBP on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.