Freseros vs Dorados prediction
Freseros
19
27
15
16
Dorados
28
26
25
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Freseros7782Dorados10588Freseros7782Dorados10588Total 170 Margin DOR by 6 Win DOR 65% Actual 182 · DOR won
Freseros
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Dorados
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Freseros vs Dorados
Freseros
Dorados
Last 26 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Freseros at home, last 13 games · Dorados away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Freseros 0, Dorados 5.
- Average total 171.8 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DOR by 20 Oct 6, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 6, 2026 LNBP Freseros 85–105 Dorados 190 pts
- Jul 25, 2026 LNBP Dorados 89–79 Freseros 168 pts
- Jul 24, 2026 LNBP Dorados 84–80 Freseros 164 pts
- Sep 14, 2025 LNBP Freseros 66–92 Dorados 158 pts
- Sep 13, 2025 LNBP Freseros 74–105 Dorados 179 pts
Last five games
Freseros
0-5 - Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
- Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.
- Oct 1: Santos 96, Freseros 81. Lost. Odds: Santos 1.57, Freseros 2.25.
- Sep 26: Freseros 88, Panteras 97. Lost. Odds: Freseros 1.95, Panteras 1.72.
- Sep 25: Freseros 87, Panteras 94. Lost. Odds: Freseros 2.52, Panteras 1.47.
Dorados
2-3 - Oct 6: Freseros 85, Dorados 105. Won. Odds: Freseros 2.20, Dorados 1.57.
- Oct 2: Panteras 81, Dorados 83. Won. Odds: Panteras 1.39, Dorados 2.75.
- Oct 1: Panteras 91, Dorados 85. Lost. Odds: Panteras 1.72, Dorados 2.00.
- Sep 26: Dorados 64, Soles 97. Lost. Odds: Dorados 2.65, Soles 1.40.
- Sep 25: Dorados 81, Soles 98. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.98, Soles 1.75.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Freseros and Dorados played yesterday.
- 5-game losing streak for Freseros coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Dorados dropped from 1.65 to 1.22 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Dorados.
- Net rating difference of 11.2 — Freseros −12.3 per 100 possessions, Dorados −1.1.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRE moneyline | 2.05 | moved up 3.85 |
| DOR moneyline | 1.65 | moved down 1.22 |
| Total points | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| FRE spread | +2.5 | moved up +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 |  Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 |  Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 |  Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 | Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 |  Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 |  Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 |  El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 | Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Freseros host Dorados in the LNBP on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.