Frankfurt vs Hamburg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 170 Margin FRA by 6 Win FRA 64% Actual 167 · FRA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Frankfurt vs Hamburg
Last 12 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Frankfurt at home, last 7 games · Hamburg away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Frankfurt 0, Hamburg 2.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HAM by 22 Apr 5, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 5, 2026 BBL Hamburg 97–75 Frankfurt 172 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 BBL Frankfurt 78–82 Hamburg 160 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Frankfurt 79, Siauliai 71. Won. Odds: Frankfurt 1.48, Siauliai 2.54.
- Oct 4: Phoenix Hagen 88, Frankfurt 93. Won. Odds: Phoenix Hagen 2.03, Frankfurt 1.76.
- Sep 29: Venezia 104, Frankfurt 72. Lost. Odds: Venezia 1.16, Frankfurt 5.08.
- Sep 26: Frankfurt 93, Vechta 81. Won. Odds: Frankfurt 1.41, Vechta 2.81.
- Sep 24: Alba Berlin 94, Frankfurt 83. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.15, Frankfurt 5.16.
- Oct 3: Hamburg 84, Rostock 91. Lost. Odds: Hamburg 1.95, Rostock 1.82.
- Sep 27: Oldenburg 75, Hamburg 74. Lost. Odds: Oldenburg 1.35, Hamburg 3.09.
- Sep 25: Hamburg 94, Chemnitz 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Hamburg 2.05, Chemnitz 1.75.
- Sep 19: Bonn 96, Hamburg 72. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.17, Hamburg 4.50.
- Sep 11: Hamburg 90, Rostock 81. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hamburg dropped from 3.55 to 2.95 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Hamburg, 4 for Frankfurt.
- Net rating difference of 20.0 — Frankfurt +6.8 per 100 possessions, Hamburg −13.2.
- 3rd vs 18th in the BBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRA moneyline | 1.26 | moved up 1.37 |
| HAM moneyline | 3.55 | moved down 2.95 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved up 172.5 |
| FRA spread | −7.5 | moved up −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
BBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 566 | 422 | +144 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 597 | 524 | +73 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 451 | 423 | +28 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 507 | 479 | +28 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 610 | 614 | −4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 497 | 481 | +16 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 616 | 594 | +22 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 621 | 572 | +49 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 512 | 485 | +27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 535 | 567 | −32 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 535 | −35 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 573 | 594 | −21 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 521 | 584 | −63 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 536 | 618 | −82 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 591 | 636 | −45 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 607 | 621 | −14 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 600 | 633 | −33 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 537 | −58 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - Pro A
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Frankfurt host Hamburg in the BBL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.