Franca vs Sao Jose prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 81%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin FRA by 12 Win FRA 81% Actual 149 · FRA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Franca vs Sao Jose
Last 29 and 26 games with full stats · all competitions
Franca at home, last 29 games · Sao Jose away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Franca 2, Sao Jose 0.
- Average total 186.5 points per meeting
- Over 158.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FRA by 2 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 NBB Sao Jose 91–93 Franca 184 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 NBB Franca 104–85 Sao Jose 189 pts
Last five games
- Jun 7: Franca 85, Pinheiros 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Pinheiros 94, Franca 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 2: Pinheiros 75, Franca 78. Won. No odds on record.
- May 31: Franca 82, Pinheiros 73. Won. No odds on record.
- May 28: Franca 68, Brasilia 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 27: Mogi 81, Sao Jose 70. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Mogi 79, Sao Jose 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Sao Jose 70, Mogi 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: Uniao Corinthians 97, Sao Jose 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Caxias do Sul 65, Sao Jose 68. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Sao Jose coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 14.7 — Franca +7.4 per 100 possessions, Sao Jose −7.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Franca.
- 8th vs 18th in the NBB standings.
- Different pace — Franca averaged 73.0 possessions per game, Sao Jose 78.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FRA moneyline | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| SAO moneyline | 6.75 | 6.75 |
| Total points | 158.5 | 158.5 |
| FRA spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Franca host Sao Jose in the NBB on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
