Forli vs Sebastiani Rieti prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin SEB by 1 Win SEB 56% Actual 164 · FOR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Forli vs Sebastiani Rieti
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Forli 0, Sebastiani Rieti 2.
- Average total 159.0 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SEB by 4 Jan 17, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 17, 2026 Serie A2 Forli 82–86 OT Sebastiani Rieti 168 pts · OT
- Oct 5, 2025 Serie A2 Sebastiani Rieti 90–60 Forli 150 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Avellino Basket 94, Forli 81. Lost. Odds: Avellino Basket 1.34, Forli 3.00.
- Oct 3: Forli 80, Cento 73. Won. Odds: Forli 1.44, Cento 2.60.
- Sep 26: Cividale 69, Forli 85. Won. Odds: Cividale 1.22, Forli 3.80.
- Apr 26: Forli 65, Fortitudo Bologna 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: Pesaro 85, Forli 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Sebastiani Rieti 78, Pistoia 70. Won. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.27, Pistoia 3.45.
- Oct 4: Vigevano 64, Sebastiani Rieti 78. Won. Odds: Vigevano 2.25, Sebastiani Rieti 1.55.
- Sep 27: Sebastiani Rieti 81, Caserta 73. Won. Odds: Sebastiani Rieti 1.15, Caserta 4.50.
- May 15: Sebastiani Rieti 78, Cividale 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Sebastiani Rieti 73, Cividale 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Sebastiani Rieti coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 154.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- 8th vs 6th in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FOR moneyline | 1.56 | moved up 1.65 |
| SEB moneyline | 2.30 | moved down 2.12 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 156.5 |
| FOR spread | −3.5 | moved up −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 577 | 483 | +94 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 565 | 511 | +54 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 554 | 528 | +26 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 569 | 538 | +31 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 525 | 524 | +1 | |
| 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 586 | 548 | +38 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 532 | 531 | +1 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 533 | 485 | +48 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 501 | −22 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 544 | 599 | −55 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 546 | 592 | −46 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 514 | 562 | −48 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Forli host Sebastiani Rieti in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.