Forli vs Libertas Livorno prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 151 Margin LIB by 1 Win LIB 52% Actual 179 · LIB won
Forli vs Libertas Livorno
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Forli 1, Libertas Livorno 1.
- Average total 161.0 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FOR by 5 Apr 12, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 12, 2026 Serie A2 Forli 91–86 Libertas Livorno 177 pts
- Nov 12, 2025 Serie A2 Libertas Livorno 86–59 Forli 145 pts
Last five games
- Oct 21: Vigevano 79, Forli 74. Lost. Odds: Vigevano 2.70, Forli 1.42.
- Oct 18: Forli 93, Sebastiani Rieti 71. Won. Odds: Forli 1.65, Sebastiani Rieti 2.12.
- Oct 11: Avellino Basket 94, Forli 81. Lost. Odds: Avellino Basket 1.34, Forli 3.00.
- Oct 3: Forli 80, Cento 73. Won. Odds: Forli 1.44, Cento 2.60.
- Sep 26: Cividale 69, Forli 85. Won. Odds: Cividale 1.22, Forli 3.80.
- Oct 21: Libertas Livorno 85, Fortitudo Bologna 59. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.56, Fortitudo Bologna 2.30.
- Oct 17: Libertas Livorno 87, Urania Milano 72. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.13, Urania Milano 4.67.
- Oct 11: JuVi Cremona 73, Libertas Livorno 75. Won. Odds: JuVi Cremona 2.42, Libertas Livorno 1.50.
- Oct 3: Mestre 49, Libertas Livorno 88. Won. Odds: Mestre 2.05, Libertas Livorno 1.70.
- Sep 27: Libertas Livorno 63, Pistoia 62. Won. Odds: Libertas Livorno 1.22, Pistoia 3.90.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Libertas Livorno coming into this game.
- 10th vs 1st in the Serie A2 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FOR moneyline | 2.22 | moved up 2.30 |
| LIB moneyline | 1.54 | moved up 1.56 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved down 155.5 |
| FOR spread | +2.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Serie A2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 490 | 402 | +88 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 486 | 441 | +45 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 499 | 459 | +40 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 578 | 497 | +81 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 375 | 367 | +8 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 488 | 464 | +24 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 452 | 459 | −7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 536 | 513 | +23 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 419 | +50 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 477 | +23 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 437 | 456 | −19 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 495 | 521 | −26 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 404 | 406 | −2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 506 | −31 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 463 | 512 | −49 | |
| 16 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 511 | 534 | −23 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 515 | 585 | −70 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 432 | 505 | −73 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 530 | 572 | −42 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 449 | 489 | −40 |
- Lega A
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
- Play Out
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Forli host Libertas Livorno in the Serie A2 on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.