Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos prediction
Forca Lleida
20
21
13
27
San Pablo Burgos
19
20
17
38
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Forca Lleida8199San Pablo Burgos9488Forca Lleida8199San Pablo Burgos9488Total 187 Margin FOR by 11 Win FOR 78% Actual 175 · SPB won
Forca Lleida
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction San Pablo Burgos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos
Forca Lleida
San Pablo Burgos
Last 5 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Forca Lleida 1, San Pablo Burgos 1.
- Average total 167.5 points per meeting
- Over 187.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPB by 8 May 2, 2026
Meetings
- May 2, 2026 ACB San Pablo Burgos 99–91 Forca Lleida 190 pts
- Jan 24, 2026 ACB Forca Lleida 73–72 San Pablo Burgos 145 pts
Last five games
Forca Lleida
2-3 - Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
- May 29: Murcia 116, Forca Lleida 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: Forca Lleida 88, MoraBanc Andorra 116. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: Forca Lleida 75, Gran Canaria 72. Won. No odds on record.
- May 13: Breogan 114, Forca Lleida 87. Lost. No odds on record.
San Pablo Burgos
3-2 - Sep 30: San Pablo Burgos 85, Cedevita Olimpija 81. Won. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 1.44, Cedevita Olimpija 2.72.
- Sep 27: San Pablo Burgos 97, Baskonia 98. Lost. Odds: San Pablo Burgos 2.23, Baskonia 1.62.
- May 29: San Pablo Burgos 110, Granada 105. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: Joventut Badalona 86, San Pablo Burgos 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: MoraBanc Andorra 83, San Pablo Burgos 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Forca Lleida dropped from 1.62 to 1.34 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Forca Lleida, 3 for San Pablo Burgos.
- Net rating difference of 10.9 — Forca Lleida −14.6 per 100 possessions, San Pablo Burgos −3.7.
- 17th vs 13th in the ACB standings.
- Different pace — Forca Lleida averaged 83.5 possessions per game, San Pablo Burgos 76.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FOR moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.34 |
| SPB moneyline | 2.18 | moved up 3.12 |
| Total points | 186.5 | moved up 187.5 |
| FOR spread | −5.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 |  Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 |  Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 | Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Forca Lleida host San Pablo Burgos in the ACB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.