Flamengo vs Caxias do Sul Prediction & Odds

NBB Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start19:00ET

FlamengoHome · 3-1 · 5th · 1.02

7717182814

Caxias do SulAway · 0-4 · 16th · 10.50

591512923

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Flamengo 17 18 28 14

Caxias do Sul 15 12 9 23

FT Maracanãzinho · BrazilMaracanãzinho

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

CDS +23.5 1.38 85%

Caxias do Sul +23.5 on the spread edge +8.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won CDS +23.5 1.38 Caxias do Sul +23.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 77.5% · market 69.4% edge +8.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.02 73.4% 87.4% −14.0% 85% Won

Total points O149.5 1.38 66.2% 66.7% −0.5% 82% Lost

Point spread CDS +23.5 1.38 77.5% 69.4% +8.1% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Flamengo7783

Caxias do Sul5974

Total 157 actual 136

Winning margin FLA by 9 actual FLA by 18

Chance to win FLA 73% FLA won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Flamengo7783

Caxias do Sul5974

Total 157 Margin FLA by 9 Win FLA 73% Actual 136 · FLA won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Flamengo large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Caxias do Sul

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Flamengo vs Caxias do Sul

Flamengo Caxias do Sul

Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Flamengo 2-3

Oct 20: Flamengo 81, Botafogo 71. Won. Odds: Flamengo 1.02, Botafogo 10.30.
Oct 18: Flamengo 81, Bauru 82. Lost. Odds: Flamengo 1.20, Bauru 4.20.
May 15: Brasilia 72, Flamengo 69. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Brasilia 88, Flamengo 96. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Flamengo 90, Brasilia 98. Lost. No odds on record.

Caxias do Sul 1-4

Oct 28: Botafogo 84, Caxias do Sul 82. Lost. Odds: Botafogo 1.42, Caxias do Sul 2.70.
Oct 20: Caxias do Sul 66, Minas 78. Lost. Odds: Caxias do Sul 4.50, Minas 1.17.
Oct 17: Caxias do Sul 61, Cruzeiro 72. Lost. Odds: Caxias do Sul 2.07, Cruzeiro 1.47.
Apr 30: Brasilia 71, Caxias do Sul 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 27: Caxias do Sul 66, Brasilia 63. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FLA moneyline	1.05	moved down 1.02
CDS moneyline	6.67	moved up 10.50
Total points	156.5	156.5
FLA spread	−16.5	moved down −17.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

NBB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minas	4	4	0	1.000	352	263	+89
2	Brasilia	4	3	1	.750	345	345	0
3	Unifacisa	4	3	1	.750	344	296	+48
4	Mogi	4	3	1	.750	315	294	+21
5	Flamengo	4	3	1	.750	322	277	+45
6	Pinheiros	4	3	1	.750	327	281	+46
7	Paulistano	4	3	1	.750	301	302	−1
8	Franca	4	2	2	.500	290	276	+14
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	.500	302	301	+1
10	Bauru	4	2	2	.500	301	311	−10
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	.400	369	400	−31
12	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	.333	243	236	+7
13	Osasco	3	1	2	.333	237	254	−17
14	Pato	4	1	3	.250	296	330	−34
15	Botafogo	4	1	3	.250	323	339	−16
16	Caxias do Sul	4	0	4	.000	268	311	−43
17	Cearense	2	0	2	.000	132	191	−59
18	Sao Jose	3	0	3	.000	210	270	−60

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Flamengo host Caxias do Sul in the NBB on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.