Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction
Flamengo
22
27
20
12
Botafogo
14
22
21
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Flamengo8188Botafogo7177Flamengo8188Botafogo7177Total 165 Margin FLA by 11 Win FLA 81% Actual 152 · FLA won
Flamengo
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Botafogo
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Flamengo vs Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Flamengo at home, last 26 games · Botafogo away, last 21
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Flamengo 2, Botafogo 0.
- Average total 183.0 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FLA by 13 Apr 11, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 11, 2026 NBB Botafogo 89–102 Flamengo 191 pts
- Dec 29, 2025 NBB Flamengo 104–71 Botafogo 175 pts
Last five games
Flamengo
2-3 - Oct 18: Flamengo 81, Bauru 82. Lost. Odds: Flamengo 1.20, Bauru 4.20.
- May 15: Brasilia 72, Flamengo 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Brasilia 88, Flamengo 96. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Flamengo 90, Brasilia 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Flamengo 83, Brasilia 66. Won. No odds on record.
Botafogo
0-5 - Apr 27: Botafogo 78, Franca 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Botafogo 79, Franca 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: Franca 94, Botafogo 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Vasco 104, Botafogo 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Botafogo 89, Flamengo 102. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Botafogo coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 23.7 — Flamengo +11.4 per 100 possessions, Botafogo −12.3.
- 5th vs 15th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FLA moneyline | 1.03 | moved down 1.02 |
| BOT moneyline | 8.50 | moved up 10.30 |
| Total points | 164.5 | 164.5 |
| FLA spread | −19.5 | −19.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 | Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 | Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Flamengo host Botafogo in the NBB on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.