Flamengo vs Bauru prediction
Flamengo
19
17
22
23
Bauru
20
23
18
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Flamengo8188Bauru8282Flamengo8188Bauru8282Total 170 Margin FLA by 6 Win FLA 66% Actual 163 · BAU won
Flamengo
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Bauru
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Flamengo vs Bauru
Flamengo
Bauru
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Flamengo at home, last 26 games · Bauru away, last 22
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Flamengo 1, Bauru 1.
- Average total 179.5 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAU by 13 Feb 21, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 21, 2026 NBB Flamengo 79–92 Bauru 171 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 NBB Bauru 86–102 Flamengo 188 pts
Last five games
Flamengo
2-3 - May 15: Brasilia 72, Flamengo 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 13: Brasilia 88, Flamengo 96. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Flamengo 90, Brasilia 98. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 8: Flamengo 83, Brasilia 66. Won. No odds on record.
- May 5: Brasilia 85, Flamengo 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Bauru
1-4 - Apr 29: Paulistano 71, Bauru 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bauru 88, Paulistano 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Bauru 80, Paulistano 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Paulistano 80, Bauru 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Brasilia 94, Bauru 65. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 163.5 to 161.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.9 — Flamengo +11.4 per 100 possessions, Bauru −1.5.
- 1-4 in the last five for Bauru.
- 5th vs 10th in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FLA moneyline | 1.11 | moved up 1.20 |
| BAU moneyline | 3.80 | moved up 4.20 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| FLA spread | −9.5 | −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 |  Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 | Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 | Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Flamengo host Bauru in the NBB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.