Final Spor vs Kipas Istiklal Prediction & Odds

TBL Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start09:30ET Round 5

Final SporHome · 5-4 · 5th · 2.25

7812232122

Kipas IstiklalAway · 7-2 · 1st · 1.55

9133221521

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Final Spor 12 23 21 22

Kipas Istiklal 33 22 15 21

FT Tofas Spor Salonu · TurkeyTofas Spor Salonu · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Lost

1 2.25 51%

Final Spor to win edge +7.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 2.25 Final Spor to win Confidence51% model 48.0% · market 40.8% edge +7.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 2.25 48.0% 40.8% +7.2% 51% Lost

Total points O155.5 1.83 60.5% 50.0% +10.5% 58% Won

Point spread FIN +4.5 1.78 69.5% 51.0% +18.5% 75% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Final Spor7881

Kipas Istiklal9179

Total 160 actual 169

Winning margin FIN by 2 actual KIP by 13

Chance to win FIN 58% KIP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Final Spor7881

Kipas Istiklal9179

Total 160 Margin FIN by 2 Win FIN 58% Actual 169 · KIP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Final Spor large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Kipas Istiklal

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Final Spor vs Kipas Istiklal

Final Spor Kipas Istiklal

Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Final Spor 2-3

Oct 4: Darussafaka 75, Final Spor 83. Won. Odds: Darussafaka 2.20, Final Spor 1.57.
Sep 27: Final Spor 75, Fenerbahce 2 74. Won. Odds: Final Spor 1.65, Fenerbahce 2 2.05.
Sep 19: Gaziantep 91, Final Spor 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Gaziantep 1.25, Final Spor 3.57.
Sep 12: iLab Basketbol 84, Final Spor 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Final Spor 88, CO Basket 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Kipas Istiklal 3-2

Oct 3: Kipas Istiklal 85, Kecioren Baglum 72. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.22, Kecioren Baglum 3.70.
Sep 27: Balikesir 69, Kipas Istiklal 79. Won. Odds: Balikesir 2.52, Kipas Istiklal 1.46.
Sep 19: Kipas Istiklal 83, Ankara Kolejliler 72. Won. Odds: Kipas Istiklal 1.60, Ankara Kolejliler 2.15.
Sep 12: Goztepe 73, Kipas Istiklal 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 6: Gaziantep 90, Kipas Istiklal 78. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FIN moneyline	2.30	moved down 2.25
KIP moneyline	1.50	moved up 1.55
Total points	155.5	155.5
FIN spread	+4.5	moved down +3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

TBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Kipas Istiklal	9	7	2	16	749	670	+79
2	Mersin SK	8	8	0	16	725	597	+128
3	Yalova Harem Spor	9	7	2	16	724	605	+119
4	Goztepe	8	7	1	15	687	618	+69
5	Final Spor	9	5	4	14	721	714	+7
6	Gaziantep	8	5	3	13	629	613	+16
7	CO Basket	9	4	5	13	670	736	−66
8	Buyukcekmece	8	4	4	12	643	631	+12
9	OGM Ormanspor	8	4	4	12	674	664	+10
10	Darussafaka	9	3	6	12	684	751	−67
11	iLab Basketbol	8	4	4	12	680	690	−10
12	Ankara Kolejliler	9	3	6	12	682	730	−48
13	Fenerbahce 2	8	3	5	11	583	630	−47
14	Balikesir	9	2	7	11	659	705	−46
15	MKE Ankaragucu	8	3	5	11	635	726	−91
16	Konya BBSK	8	2	6	10	648	671	−23
17	Kecioren Baglum	9	1	8	10	745	787	−42

Super Lig
Playoffs
Play-in
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Final Spor host Kipas Istiklal in the TBL on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.