Final Spor vs Balikesir prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin FIN by 2 Win FIN 58% Actual 120 · FIN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Final Spor vs Balikesir
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Final Spor 1, Balikesir 1.
- Average total 140.5 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BAL by 10 Mar 15, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 15, 2026 TBL Balikesir 82–72 Final Spor 154 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 TBL Final Spor 71–56 Balikesir 127 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Ankara Kolejliler 75, Final Spor 77. Won. Odds: Ankara Kolejliler 1.45, Final Spor 2.55.
- Oct 7: Final Spor 78, Kipas Istiklal 91. Lost. Odds: Final Spor 2.25, Kipas Istiklal 1.55.
- Oct 4: Darussafaka 75, Final Spor 83. Won. Odds: Darussafaka 2.20, Final Spor 1.57.
- Sep 27: Final Spor 75, Fenerbahce 2 74. Won. Odds: Final Spor 1.65, Fenerbahce 2 2.05.
- Sep 19: Gaziantep 91, Final Spor 89. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Gaziantep 1.25, Final Spor 3.57.
- Oct 11: Balikesir 94, Kecioren Baglum 92. Won. Odds: Balikesir 1.60, Kecioren Baglum 2.15.
- Oct 7: Goztepe 78, Balikesir 67. Lost. Odds: Goztepe 1.13, Balikesir 4.90.
- Oct 3: Ankara Kolejliler 85, Balikesir 91. Won. Odds: Ankara Kolejliler 1.28, Balikesir 3.25.
- Sep 27: Balikesir 69, Kipas Istiklal 79. Lost. Odds: Balikesir 2.52, Kipas Istiklal 1.46.
- Sep 20: Darussafaka 67, Balikesir 65. Lost. Odds: Darussafaka 2.10, Balikesir 1.62.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Balikesir dropped from 3.15 to 2.50 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.6 — Final Spor +2.7 per 100 possessions, Balikesir −4.9.
- −9.0 points away — Balikesir averaged 77.8 at home and 68.8 away this season.
- 5th vs 14th in the TBL standings.
- Different pace — Final Spor averaged 78.0 possessions per game, Balikesir 65.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FIN moneyline | 1.29 | moved up 1.47 |
| BAL moneyline | 3.15 | moved down 2.50 |
| Total points | 155.5 | 155.5 |
| FIN spread | −7.5 | moved up −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
TBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 749 | 670 | +79 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 725 | 597 | +128 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 724 | 605 | +119 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 687 | 618 | +69 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 721 | 714 | +7 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 629 | 613 | +16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 670 | 736 | −66 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 643 | 631 | +12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 674 | 664 | +10 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 684 | 751 | −67 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 680 | 690 | −10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 682 | 730 | −48 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 583 | 630 | −47 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 659 | 705 | −46 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 635 | 726 | −91 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 648 | 671 | −23 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 745 | 787 | −42 |
- Super Lig
- Playoffs
- Play-in
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Final Spor host Balikesir in the TBL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.