Ferrol vs Gernika Bizkaia Prediction & Odds — Oct 24

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Liga Femenina Women Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat, Oct 24 Start12:30ET Round 5

FerrolHome · 4-2 · 5th · 1.28

7623211517

Gernika BizkaiaAway · 3-3 · 9th · 2.90

712314826

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ferrol 23 21 15 17

Gernika Bizkaia 23 14 8 26

FT Pavillón da Malata · SpainPavillón da Malata · Round 5

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.30 65%

Ferrol to win edge −5.9%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.30 Ferrol to win Confidence65% model 57.4% · market 63.3% edge −5.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.30 57.4% 63.3% −5.9% 65% Won

Total points U154.5 1.77 47.9% 49.9% −2.0% 51% Won

Point spread GER +4.5 1.85 53.9% 49.2% +4.7% 58% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ferrol7677

Gernika Bizkaia7174

Total 151 actual 147

Winning margin FER by 3 actual FER by 5

Chance to win FER 57% FER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ferrol7677

Gernika Bizkaia7174

Total 151 Margin FER by 3 Win FER 57% Actual 147 · FER won

Last five games

Ferrol 1-4

Oct 21: Ferrol 42, CBK Mersin 85. Lost. Odds: Ferrol 5.90, CBK Mersin 1.06.
Oct 18: Valencia 87, Ferrol 50. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.04, Ferrol 5.10.
Oct 14: Olympiacos 96, Ferrol 68. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.61, Ferrol 2.10.
Oct 11: Ferrol 84, Estepona 72. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.68, Estepona 2.00.
Oct 8: Jairis 74, Ferrol 61. Lost. Odds: Jairis 1.19, Ferrol 3.77.

Gernika Bizkaia 3-2

Oct 17: Gernika Bizkaia 83, Leganes 79. Won. Odds: Gernika Bizkaia 1.93, Leganes 1.55.
Oct 11: Perfumerias Avenida 86, Gernika Bizkaia 58. Lost. Odds: Perfumerias Avenida 1.22, Gernika Bizkaia 3.83.
Oct 7: Gernika Bizkaia 72, Zaragoza 108. Lost. Odds: Gernika Bizkaia 3.90, Zaragoza 1.20.
Oct 3: Celta 80, Gernika Bizkaia 84. After overtime. Won. Odds: Celta 1.90, Gernika Bizkaia 1.77.
Apr 25: Gernika Bizkaia 86, Perfumerias Avenida 75. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FER moneyline	1.45	moved down 1.28
GER moneyline	2.47	moved up 2.90
Total points	151.5	moved up 153.5
FER spread	−4.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga Femenina Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zaragoza	6	6	0	12	513	351	+162
2	Mallorca Palma	6	5	1	11	478	401	+77
3	Jairis	6	5	1	11	441	375	+66
4	Valencia	6	5	1	11	495	376	+119
5	Ferrol	6	4	2	10	444	466	−22
6	IDK Gipuzkoa	6	4	2	10	417	382	+35
7	Estepona	6	4	2	10	416	381	+35
8	Cadi La Seu	6	4	2	10	394	391	+3
9	Gernika Bizkaia	6	3	3	9	469	496	−27
10	Perfumerias Avenida	6	2	4	8	430	455	−25
11	Leganes	6	2	4	8	368	420	−52
12	Estudiantes	6	2	4	8	400	458	−58
13	Uni Girona	6	1	5	7	385	418	−33
14	Ensino	6	1	5	7	360	454	−94
15	Araski	6	0	6	6	369	455	−86
16	Celta	6	0	6	6	386	486	−100

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ferrol host Gernika Bizkaia in the Liga Femenina Women on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.