Ferrol vs Estepona prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 141 Margin FER by 1 Win FER 51% Actual 156 · FER won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Ferrol vs Estepona
Last 9 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Ferrol 0, Estepona 2.
- Average total 142.0 points per meeting
- Over 143.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting EST by 16 Jan 24, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 24, 2026 Liga Femenina Women Estepona 65–49 Ferrol 114 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 Liga Femenina Women Ferrol 75–95 Estepona 170 pts
Last five games
- Oct 8: Jairis 74, Ferrol 61. Lost. Odds: Jairis 1.19, Ferrol 3.77.
- Oct 4: Ferrol 82, Araski 77. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.39, Araski 2.55.
- Oct 1: Ferrol 85, Beroe 58. Won. Odds: Ferrol 1.01, Beroe 9.75.
- Sep 24: Beroe 61, Ferrol 76. Won. Odds: Beroe 7.10, Ferrol 1.05.
- Apr 25: Ferrol 80, Leganes 69. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 8: Estepona 82, Ensino 55. Won. Odds: Estepona 1.29, Ensino 2.99.
- Oct 4: Zaragoza 68, Estepona 41. Lost. Odds: Zaragoza 1.07, Estepona 6.14.
- Sep 30: San Giovanni 76, Estepona 71. Lost. Odds: San Giovanni 1.78, Estepona 1.90.
- Sep 24: Estepona 65, San Giovanni 76. Lost. Odds: Estepona 1.22, San Giovanni 3.60.
- May 3: Zaragoza 90, Estepona 49. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 145.5 to 143.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.9 — Ferrol −1.6 per 100 possessions, Estepona +9.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Ferrol.
- 1-4 in the last five for Estepona.
- 5th vs 7th in the Liga Femenina Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FER moneyline | 1.80 | moved down 1.68 |
| EST moneyline | 1.86 | moved up 2.00 |
| Total points | 145.5 | moved down 143.5 |
| FER spread | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Femenina Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 513 | 351 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 478 | 401 | +77 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 441 | 375 | +66 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 495 | 376 | +119 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 444 | 466 | −22 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 417 | 382 | +35 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 416 | 381 | +35 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 394 | 391 | +3 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 469 | 496 | −27 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 430 | 455 | −25 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 368 | 420 | −52 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 400 | 458 | −58 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 385 | 418 | −33 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 360 | 454 | −94 | |
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 369 | 455 | −86 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 386 | 486 | −100 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Ferrol host Estepona in the Liga Femenina Women on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.