Ferro vs Defensor Prediction & Odds

WBLA Women Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start13:00ET 5th place

FerroHome · 1-1 · 2nd · 1.30

9421253216

DefensorAway · 0-2 · 3rd · 3.10

8222261519

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Ferro 21 25 32 16

Defensor 22 26 15 19

FT Centro Deportivo Ismenia Pauchard DemierCentro Deportivo Ismenia Pauchard Demier · 5th place

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.30 71%

Ferro to win edge −4.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.30 Ferro to win Confidence71% model 71.1% · market 75.3% edge −4.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.30 71.1% 75.3% −4.2% 71% Won

Total points U135.5 1.82 47.9% 50.0% −2.1% 51% Lost

Point spread FER -7.5 1.82 59.2% 50.0% +9.2% 60% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ferro9474

Defensor8257

Total 131 actual 176

Winning margin FER by 17 actual FER by 12

Chance to win FER 81% FER won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Ferro9474

Defensor8257

Total 131 Margin FER by 17 Win FER 81% Actual 176 · FER won

Last five games

Ferro 2-3

Oct 2: Ferro 59, SESI Araraquara 64. Lost. Odds: Ferro 1.65, SESI Araraquara 2.05.
Oct 1: Leones Quilpue 75, Ferro 59. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.21, Ferro 3.80.
Sep 30: Ferro 78, Defensor 76. Won. Odds: Ferro 1.55, Defensor 2.25.
May 23: Obras Sanitarias 69, Ferro 75. Won. No odds on record.
May 21: Obras Sanitarias 62, Ferro 56. Lost. No odds on record.

Defensor 0-3

Oct 2: Bay Arena Phoenix 104, Defensor 61. Lost. Odds: Bay Arena Phoenix 1.95, Defensor 1.72.
Sep 30: Ferro 78, Defensor 76. Lost. Odds: Ferro 1.55, Defensor 2.25.
Sep 29: Defensor 57, Leones Quilpue 71. Lost. Odds: Defensor 3.50, Leones Quilpue 1.25.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FER moneyline	1.23	moved up 1.30
DEF moneyline	3.75	moved down 3.10
Total points	135.5	135.5
FER spread	−7.5	−7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WBLA Women standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Leones Quilpue	2	2	0	4	146	116	+30
2	Ferro	2	1	1	3	137	151	−14
3	Defensor	2	0	2	2	133	149	−16

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Ferro host Defensor in the WBLA Women on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions