Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 169 Margin ZAL by 1 Win ZAL 51% Actual 179 · FEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 16 games each with full stats · all competitions
Fenerbahce at home, last 9 games · Zalgiris Kaunas away, last 8
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Fenerbahce 3, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.
- Average total 168.8 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FEN by 4 May 8, 2026
Meetings
- May 8, 2026 EuroLeague Zalgiris Kaunas 90–94 OT Fenerbahce 184 pts · OT
- May 6, 2026 EuroLeague Zalgiris Kaunas 81–78 Fenerbahce 159 pts
- Apr 30, 2026 EuroLeague Fenerbahce 86–74 Zalgiris Kaunas 160 pts
- Apr 28, 2026 EuroLeague Fenerbahce 89–78 Zalgiris Kaunas 167 pts
- Mar 27, 2026 EuroLeague Fenerbahce 82–92 Zalgiris Kaunas 174 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Cayirova 85, Fenerbahce 100. Won. Odds: Cayirova 3.70, Fenerbahce 1.12.
- Oct 8: Panathinaikos 92, Fenerbahce 74. Lost. Odds: Panathinaikos 1.47, Fenerbahce 2.71.
- Oct 4: Fenerbahce 85, Korfez Basket 84. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.13, Korfez Basket 5.74.
- Oct 2: Fenerbahce 76, Dubai 66. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.44, Dubai 2.80.
- Sep 29: Fenerbahce 100, Bayern 76. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.28, Bayern 3.58.
- Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Won. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
- Oct 9: Barcelona 81, Zalgiris Kaunas 88. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.76, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.07.
- Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
- Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Lost. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
- Sep 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 91, Olympiacos 93. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2.11, Olympiacos 1.73.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Zalgiris Kaunas coming into this game.
- 5-0 at home for Fenerbahce this season.
- Over/under moved up from 161.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.2 — Fenerbahce +6.2 per 100 possessions, Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fenerbahce.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FEN moneyline | 1.34 | moved down 1.33 |
| ZAL moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 3.30 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| FEN spread | −6.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroLeague standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 761 | 675 | +86 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 790 | 739 | +51 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 763 | 683 | +80 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 866 | 792 | +74 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 867 | 806 | +61 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 831 | 786 | +45 | |
| 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 719 | 689 | +30 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 809 | 784 | +25 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 787 | 766 | +21 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 773 | 756 | +17 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 810 | 826 | −16 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 696 | 715 | −19 | |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 781 | 802 | −21 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 752 | 776 | −24 | |
| 15 | 9 | 4 | 5 | .444 | 788 | 831 | −43 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | .333 | 795 | 836 | −41 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 780 | 852 | −72 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | .222 | 769 | 850 | −81 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 738 | 812 | −74 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .111 | 748 | 847 | −99 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fenerbahce host Zalgiris Kaunas in the EuroLeague on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.