Fenerbahce vs Tofas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin FEN by 3 Win FEN 59% Actual 165 · FEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Fenerbahce vs Tofas
Last 16 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Fenerbahce at home, last 9 games · Tofas away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Fenerbahce 1, Tofas 1.
- Average total 165.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting FEN by 8 Jan 18, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 18, 2026 Basketbol Süper Ligi Fenerbahce 90–82 Tofas 172 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 Basketbol Süper Ligi Tofas 80–78 Fenerbahce 158 pts
Last five games
- Oct 29: Real Madrid 95, Fenerbahce 76. Lost. Odds: Real Madrid 1.43, Fenerbahce 2.83.
- Oct 27: Valencia 86, Fenerbahce 78. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
- Oct 25: Karsiyaka 72, Fenerbahce 97. Won. Odds: Karsiyaka 3.60, Fenerbahce 1.24.
- Oct 23: Olympiacos 61, Fenerbahce 64. Won. Odds: Olympiacos 1.79, Fenerbahce 1.86.
- Oct 18: Fenerbahce 77, Petkim Spor 82. Lost. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.04, Petkim Spor 5.00.
- Oct 28: Slask Wroclaw 74, Tofas 90. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.90, Tofas 1.22.
- Oct 25: Tofas 72, Petkim Spor 74. Lost. Odds: Tofas 1.42, Petkim Spor 2.55.
- Oct 21: Basket Napoli 105, Tofas 101. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.23, Tofas 3.90.
- Oct 17: Korfez Basket 69, Tofas 71. Won. Odds: Korfez Basket 1.65, Tofas 1.82.
- Oct 14: Tofas 90, Buducnost 85. Won. Odds: Tofas 1.41, Buducnost 2.81.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 6.1 — Fenerbahce +6.2 per 100 possessions, Tofas +0.1.
- 3rd vs 9th in the Basketbol Süper Ligi standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| FEN moneyline | 1.16 | moved down 1.12 |
| TOF moneyline | 4.45 | moved up 5.00 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| FEN spread | −10.5 | moved down −11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketbol Süper Ligi standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 491 | 430 | +61 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 552 | 520 | +32 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 530 | 498 | +32 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 500 | 492 | +8 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 499 | 503 | −4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 428 | 386 | +42 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 475 | +55 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 485 | 495 | −10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 476 | 508 | −32 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 417 | +1 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 492 | 507 | −15 | |
| 12 | Bordo Bandirma | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 498 | 514 | −16 |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 413 | 444 | −31 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 478 | 516 | −38 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 465 | 507 | −42 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 445 | −43 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation - TBL
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Fenerbahce host Tofas in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.