Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket Prediction & Odds

Basketbol Süper Ligi Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start08:30ET Round 2

FenerbahceHome · 4-2 · 3rd · 1.13

8525202317

Korfez BasketAway · 5.74

8418261129

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Fenerbahce 25 20 23 17

Korfez Basket 18 26 11 29

FT Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu · TurkeyUlker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Total points Won

U175.5 1.41 55%

Under 175.5 points edge −7.1%

Best tip of the game Total points · Won U175.5 1.41 Under 175.5 points Confidence55% model 58.2% · market 65.3% edge −7.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 5.74 50.9% 17.6% +33.3% 51% Lost

Total points U175.5 1.41 58.2% 65.3% −7.1% 55% Won

Point spread KOR +12.5 1.73 75.8% 56.8% +19.0% 61% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fenerbahce8581

Korfez Basket8486

Total 167 actual 169

Winning margin KOR by 5 actual FEN by 1

Chance to win KOR 66% FEN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Fenerbahce8581

Korfez Basket8486

Total 167 Margin KOR by 5 Win KOR 66% Actual 169 · FEN won

Last five games

Fenerbahce 4-1

Oct 2: Fenerbahce 76, Dubai 66. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.44, Dubai 2.80.
Sep 29: Fenerbahce 100, Bayern 76. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.28, Bayern 3.58.
Sep 27: Bahcesehir Kol. 98, Fenerbahce 83. Lost. Odds: Bahcesehir Kol. 2.80, Fenerbahce 1.41.
Sep 25: Fenerbahce 78, Virtus Bologna 68. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.15, Virtus Bologna 5.30.
Sep 22: Fenerbahce 72, Besiktas 59. Won. Odds: Fenerbahce 1.17, Besiktas 4.50.

Korfez Basket 2-1

Sep 28: Korfez Basket 88, Esenler Erokspor 79. Won. Odds: Korfez Basket 2.50, Esenler Erokspor 1.51.
Sep 17: Promitheas 94, Korfez Basket 93. Lost. Odds: Promitheas 1.50, Korfez Basket 2.45.
Sep 15: Korfez Basket 91, Kolossos Rhodes 79. Won. Odds: Korfez Basket 1.92, Kolossos Rhodes 1.80.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
FEN moneyline	1.08	moved up 1.13
KOR moneyline	7.10	moved down 5.74
Total points	168.5	168.5
FEN spread	−10.5	moved down −13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basketbol Süper Ligi standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Turk Telekom	6	5	1	11	491	430	+61
2	Bahcesehir Kol.	6	5	1	11	552	520	+32
3	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	10	530	498	+32
4	Trabzonspor	6	4	2	10	500	492	+8
5	Esenler Erokspor	6	4	2	10	499	503	−4
6	Anadolu Efes	5	4	1	9	428	386	+42
7	Galatasaray	6	3	3	9	530	475	+55
8	Karsiyaka	6	3	3	9	485	495	−10
9	Tofas	6	2	4	8	476	508	−32
10	Petkim Spor	5	3	2	8	418	417	+1
11	Korfez Basket	6	2	4	8	492	507	−15
12	Bordo Bandirma	6	2	4	8	498	514	−16
13	Besiktas	5	2	3	7	413	444	−31
14	Denizli Basket	6	1	5	7	478	516	−38
15	Bursaspor	6	1	5	7	465	507	−42
16	Cayirova	5	1	4	6	402	445	−43

Playoffs
Relegation - TBL

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Fenerbahce host Korfez Basket in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket prediction

All predictions