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FC Porto vs Sporting CP prediction

Super Cup Saturday, September 26, 2026Sat, Sep 26 Start11:00ET Final
FC PortoHome · Moneyline odds down 1.44
801st quarter 222nd quarter 93rd quarter 204th quarter 29
Sporting CPAway · Moneyline odds up 2.64
761st quarter 262nd quarter 153rd quarter 114th quarter 24
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
FC Porto 22 9 20 29
Sporting CP 26 15 11 24
FT Pavilhão Desportivo de Albufeira · PortugalPavilhão Desportivo de Albufeira · Final
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Won
1 odds down 1.48 58% confidence
FC Porto to win edge −3.4%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 odds down 1.48 FC Porto to win Confidence58% model 57.7% · market 61.1% edge −3.4%

All predictions

1 pick graded · Average confidence 58%
Pick for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 odds down 1.48 57.7% 61.1% −3.4% 58% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
FC Porto8080
Sporting CP7677
Total 157 actual 156
Winning margin POR by 3 actual POR by 4
Chance to win POR 58% POR won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
FC Porto8080
Sporting CP7677

Total 157 Margin POR by 3 Win POR 58% Actual 156 · POR won

FC Porto host Sporting CP in the Super Cup on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.