FC Porto vs Sporting CP prediction
All predictions
1 pick graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin POR by 3 Win POR 58% Actual 156 · POR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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FC Porto vs Sporting CP
Last 8 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: FC Porto 4, Sporting CP 1.
- Average total 162.4 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 5 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting POR by 8 May 31, 2026
Meetings
- May 31, 2026 LPB FC Porto 94–86 Sporting CP 180 pts
- May 29, 2026 LPB FC Porto 86–76 Sporting CP 162 pts
- May 25, 2026 LPB Sporting CP 88–73 FC Porto 161 pts
- May 23, 2026 LPB Sporting CP 70–81 FC Porto 151 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 LPB Sporting CP 76–82 FC Porto 158 pts
Last five games
- Jun 14: FC Porto 75, Benfica 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 12: FC Porto 87, Benfica 63. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 9: Benfica 98, FC Porto 102. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Jun 7: Benfica 89, FC Porto 73. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 31: FC Porto 94, Sporting CP 86. Won. No odds on record.
- May 31: FC Porto 94, Sporting CP 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 29: FC Porto 86, Sporting CP 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 25: Sporting CP 88, FC Porto 73. Won. No odds on record.
- May 23: Sporting CP 70, FC Porto 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 14: Esgueira 73, Sporting CP 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for FC Porto coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 6.3 — FC Porto +7.8 per 100 possessions, Sporting CP +1.5.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for FC Porto.
- 162.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| POR moneyline | 1.53 | moved down 1.44 |
| SPO moneyline | 2.40 | moved up 2.64 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FC Porto host Sporting CP in the Super Cup on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

