FC Porto vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Odds

LPB Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start11:00ET Round 4

FC PortoHome · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.03

9326221827

CAB MadeiraAway · 1-4 · 9th · 6.60

8215202126

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

FC Porto 26 22 18 27

CAB Madeira 15 20 21 26

FT Pavilhão Dragão Arena · PortugalPavilhão Dragão Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

MAD +24.5 1.31 62%

CAB Madeira +24.5 on the spread edge +9.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won MAD +24.5 1.31 CAB Madeira +24.5 on the spread Confidence62% model 80.0% · market 70.3% edge +9.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 6.60 41.3% 10.7% +30.6% 51% Lost

Total points U178.5 1.40 74.2% 65.6% +8.6% 74% Won

Point spread MAD +24.5 1.31 80.0% 70.3% +9.7% 62% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

FC Porto9382

CAB Madeira8285

Total 167 actual 175

Winning margin MAD by 3 actual POR by 11

Chance to win MAD 56% POR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

FC Porto9382

CAB Madeira8285

Total 167 Margin MAD by 3 Win MAD 56% Actual 175 · POR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

FC Porto large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction CAB Madeira

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

FC Porto vs CAB Madeira

FC Porto CAB Madeira

Last 8 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

FC Porto 4-1

Oct 21: Bnei Herzliya 74, FC Porto 86. Won. Odds: Bnei Herzliya 1.45, FC Porto 2.60.
Oct 16: Esgueira 91, FC Porto 95. Won. Odds: Esgueira 10.50, FC Porto 1.02.
Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Won. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
Oct 7: Bonn 78, FC Porto 74. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.25, FC Porto 3.70.
Oct 2: CA Queluz 93, FC Porto 110. Won. Odds: CA Queluz 7.00, FC Porto 1.06.

CAB Madeira 1-4

Oct 17: CAB Madeira 93, Sporting CP 84. Won. Odds: CAB Madeira 2.40, Sporting CP 1.34.
Oct 10: CD Povoa 73, CAB Madeira 69. Lost. Odds: CD Povoa 1.38, CAB Madeira 2.81.
Oct 3: CAB Madeira 78, Vitoria 83. Lost. No odds on record.
May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Lost. No odds on record.
May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
POR moneyline	1.01	moved up 1.03
MAD moneyline	9.25	moved down 6.60
Total points	171.5	moved down 170.5
POR spread	−17.5	−17.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

FC Porto host CAB Madeira in the LPB on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

FC Porto vs CAB Madeira prediction