Estudiantes vs Palencia Prediction & Odds — Oct 18

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Primera FEB Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start12:30ET Round 4

EstudiantesHome · 5-0 · 3rd · 1.44

8621142724

PalenciaAway · 5-1 · 2nd · 2.62

7722261217

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Estudiantes 21 14 27 24

Palencia 22 26 12 17

FT Spain Round 4

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

EST +8.5 1.29 85%

Estudiantes +8.5 on the spread edge +7.7%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won EST +8.5 1.29 Estudiantes +8.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 78.6% · market 70.9% edge +7.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 77%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.44 59.0% 47.9% +11.1% 68% Won

Total points U168.5 1.40 67.5% 65.4% +2.1% 77% Won

Point spread EST +8.5 1.29 78.6% 70.9% +7.7% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Estudiantes8682

Palencia7779

Total 161 actual 163

Winning margin EST by 3 actual EST by 9

Chance to win EST 59% EST won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Estudiantes8682

Palencia7779

Total 161 Margin EST by 3 Win EST 59% Actual 163 · EST won

Last five games

Estudiantes 4-1

Oct 11: Estudiantes 106, Gipuzkoa 76. Won. Odds: Estudiantes 1.15, Gipuzkoa 5.16.
Oct 3: Zamora 73, Estudiantes 80. Won. Odds: Zamora 3.22, Estudiantes 1.31.
Sep 27: Estudiantes 78, Caja 87 65. Won. Odds: Estudiantes 1.05, Caja 87 8.19.
Jun 7: Estudiantes 97, Leyma Coruna 100. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 6: Estudiantes 79, Oviedo 71. Won. No odds on record.

Palencia 4-1

Oct 9: Palencia 91, Menorca 76. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.06, Menorca 7.50.
Oct 2: Palencia 70, Cordoba 67. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.04, Cordoba 9.28.
Sep 26: Albacete 69, Palencia 95. Won. Odds: Albacete 6.85, Palencia 1.08.
Jun 6: Leyma Coruna 92, Palencia 81. Lost. No odds on record.
May 29: Palencia 76, Fuenlabrada 51. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
EST moneyline	1.95	moved down 1.44
PAL moneyline	1.75	moved up 2.62
Total points	160.5	moved up 161.5
EST spread	+1.5	moved down −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Primera FEB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Alicante	6	6	0	12	539	444	+95
2	Palencia	6	5	1	11	502	451	+51
3	Estudiantes	5	5	0	10	444	369	+75
4	Estela	6	4	2	10	496	476	+20
5	Granada	6	4	2	10	480	473	+7
6	Gran Canaria	5	4	1	9	457	361	+96
7	Ourense	6	3	3	9	509	498	+11
8	Caja 87	6	3	3	9	458	460	−2
9	Albacete	6	3	3	9	500	526	−26
10	Palmer Basket	5	3	2	8	439	429	+10
11	Oviedo	5	3	2	8	417	448	−31
12	Zamora	6	2	4	8	455	487	−32
13	Fuenlabrada	6	1	5	7	459	483	−24
14	Cordoba	5	2	3	7	358	388	−30
15	Tizona Burgos	6	1	5	7	525	570	−45
16	Fibwi Palma	6	1	5	7	479	526	−47
17	Menorca	6	0	6	6	420	476	−56
18	Gipuzkoa	5	1	4	6	400	472	−72

ACB
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Segunda FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Estudiantes host Palencia in the Primera FEB on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.