Estela vs Palencia prediction
Estela
17
14
21
21
Palencia
19
19
24
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Estela7383Palencia8582Estela7383Palencia8582Total 165 Margin EST by 1 Win EST 52% Actual 158 · PAL won
Estela vs Palencia
Estela
Palencia
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Estela 0, Palencia 2.
- Average total 167.5 points per meeting
- Over 163.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting PAL by 30 May 8, 2026
Meetings
- May 8, 2026 Primera FEB Palencia 100–70 Estela 170 pts
- Oct 11, 2025 Primera FEB Estela 58–107 Palencia 165 pts
Last five games
Estela
4-1 - Oct 25: Albacete 82, Estela 81. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Albacete 4.20, Estela 1.20.
- Oct 17: Estela 84, Fuenlabrada 79. Won. Odds: Estela 1.23, Fuenlabrada 3.75.
- Oct 10: Ourense 86, Estela 101. Won. Odds: Ourense 1.63, Estela 2.19.
- Oct 4: Fibwi Palma 76, Estela 88. Won. Odds: Fibwi Palma 2.69, Estela 1.43.
- Sep 26: Estela 69, Hestia Menorca 68. Won. Odds: Estela 1.50, Hestia Menorca 2.47.
Palencia
4-1 - Oct 24: Palencia 84, Ourense 80. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.06, Ourense 8.25.
- Oct 18: Estudiantes 86, Palencia 77. Lost. Odds: Estudiantes 1.44, Palencia 2.62.
- Oct 9: Palencia 91, Menorca 76. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.06, Menorca 7.50.
- Oct 2: Palencia 70, Cordoba 67. Won. Odds: Palencia 1.04, Cordoba 9.28.
- Sep 26: Albacete 69, Palencia 95. Won. Odds: Albacete 6.85, Palencia 1.08.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Estela dropped from 3.03 to 1.95 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Estela.
- 4-1 in the last five for Palencia.
- 4th vs 2nd in the Primera FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| EST moneyline | 3.03 | moved down 1.95 |
| PAL moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.74 |
| Total points | 163.5 | 163.5 |
| EST spread | +6.5 | moved down +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Primera FEB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alicante |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 539 | 444 | +95 |
| 2 | Palencia |
6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 502 | 451 | +51 |
| 3 |  Estudiantes |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 444 | 369 | +75 |
| 4 | Estela |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 496 | 476 | +20 |
| 5 |  Granada |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 480 | 473 | +7 |
| 6 |  Gran Canaria |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 361 | +96 |
| 7 |  Ourense |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 509 | 498 | +11 |
| 8 |  Caja 87 |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 458 | 460 | −2 |
| 9 |  Albacete |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 526 | −26 |
| 10 |  Palmer Basket |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 439 | 429 | +10 |
| 11 |  Oviedo |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 417 | 448 | −31 |
| 12 |  Zamora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 455 | 487 | −32 |
| 13 |  Fuenlabrada |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 459 | 483 | −24 |
| 14 |  Cordoba |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 358 | 388 | −30 |
| 15 |  Tizona Burgos |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 525 | 570 | −45 |
| 16 |  Fibwi Palma |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 479 | 526 | −47 |
| 17 |  Menorca |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 420 | 476 | −56 |
| 18 |  Gipuzkoa |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 400 | 472 | −72 |
- ACB
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Segunda FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Estela host Palencia in the Primera FEB on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.