Essex Rebels vs Newcastle Eagles prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 158 Margin ESS by 2 Win ESS 53% Actual 165 · NEW won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Essex Rebels vs Newcastle Eagles
Last 23 and 21 games with full stats · all competitions
Essex Rebels at home, last 12 games · Newcastle Eagles away, last 10
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Essex Rebels 1, Newcastle Eagles 1.
- Average total 168.0 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ESS by 13 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 SLB Women Essex Rebels 92–79 Newcastle Eagles 171 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 SLB Women Newcastle Eagles 92–73 Essex Rebels 165 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Essex Rebels 66, Manchester Basketball 101. Lost. Odds: Essex Rebels 5.80, Manchester Basketball 1.06.
- Oct 17: Cardiff Met Archers 91, Essex Rebels 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Essex Rebels 94, Leicester Riders 62. Won. Odds: Essex Rebels 1.12, Leicester Riders 5.30.
- Oct 4: Caledonia Gladiators 86, Essex Rebels 57. Lost. Odds: Caledonia Gladiators 1.07, Essex Rebels 6.80.
- May 10: Caledonia Gladiators 80, Essex Rebels 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 24: Newcastle Eagles 82, Sheffield Hatters 99. Lost. Odds: Newcastle Eagles 3.47, Sheffield Hatters 1.26.
- Oct 18: Caledonia Gladiators 104, Newcastle Eagles 82. Lost. Odds: Caledonia Gladiators 1.06, Newcastle Eagles 5.80.
- Oct 11: Newcastle Eagles 80, Nottingham Wildcats 55. Won. Odds: Newcastle Eagles 1.02, Nottingham Wildcats 10.25.
- Oct 4: Leicester Riders 70, Newcastle Eagles 91. Won. Odds: Leicester Riders 5.00, Newcastle Eagles 1.14.
- May 2: Oaklands Wolves 72, Newcastle Eagles 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 in the last five for Essex Rebels.
- 8th vs 5th in the SLB Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ESS moneyline | 3.50 | moved up 3.57 |
| NEW moneyline | 1.26 | moved down 1.25 |
| Total points | 160.5 | 160.5 |
| ESS spread | +6.5 | moved up +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 471 | 324 | +147 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 475 | 339 | +136 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 425 | 375 | +50 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 415 | 370 | +45 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 410 | +8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 407 | −14 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 409 | 446 | −37 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 386 | 423 | −37 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 330 | 455 | −125 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 465 | −173 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Essex Rebels host Newcastle Eagles in the SLB Women on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.