Essex Rebels vs Manchester Basketball prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 157 Margin MAN by 1 Win MAN 52% Actual 167 · MAN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Essex Rebels vs Manchester Basketball
Last 23 and 22 games with full stats · all competitions
Essex Rebels at home, last 12 games · Manchester Basketball away, last 12
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Essex Rebels 1, Manchester Basketball 1.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 157.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ESS by 13 Apr 25, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 25, 2026 SLB Women Essex Rebels 85–72 Manchester Basketball 157 pts
- Jan 18, 2026 SLB Women Manchester Basketball 97–88 Essex Rebels 185 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Cardiff Met Archers 91, Essex Rebels 87. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Essex Rebels 94, Leicester Riders 62. Won. Odds: Essex Rebels 1.12, Leicester Riders 5.30.
- Oct 4: Caledonia Gladiators 86, Essex Rebels 57. Lost. Odds: Caledonia Gladiators 1.07, Essex Rebels 6.80.
- May 10: Caledonia Gladiators 80, Essex Rebels 58. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Essex Rebels 93, BA London Lions 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 18: Manchester Basketball 90, Leicester Riders 62. Won. Odds: Manchester Basketball –, Leicester Riders 21.00.
- Oct 10: Sheffield Hatters 59, Manchester Basketball 88. Won. Odds: Sheffield Hatters 1.11, Manchester Basketball 5.60.
- Oct 4: Manchester Basketball 100, BA London Lions 73. Won. Odds: Manchester Basketball 1.29, BA London Lions 3.30.
- May 3: Caledonia Gladiators 87, Manchester Basketball 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Essex Rebels 85, Manchester Basketball 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Manchester Basketball coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Manchester Basketball dropped from 1.18 to 1.06 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 154.5 to 157.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.0 — Essex Rebels +4.9 per 100 possessions, Manchester Basketball +10.9.
- 8th vs 2nd in the SLB Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ESS moneyline | 4.20 | moved up 5.80 |
| MAN moneyline | 1.18 | moved down 1.06 |
| Total points | 154.5 | moved up 157.5 |
| ESS spread | +13.5 | moved up +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 471 | 324 | +147 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 475 | 339 | +136 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 425 | 375 | +50 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 415 | 370 | +45 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 410 | +8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 393 | 407 | −14 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 409 | 446 | −37 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 386 | 423 | −37 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 330 | 455 | −125 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 465 | −173 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Essex Rebels host Manchester Basketball in the SLB Women on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.