Essex Rebels vs Leicester Riders Prediction & Odds

SLB Women Saturday, October 10, 2026Sat, Oct 10 Start11:00ET

Essex RebelsHome · 1-4 · 8th · 1.12

9431172026

Leicester RidersAway · 0-5 · 9th · 5.30

6210161719

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Essex Rebels 31 17 20 26

Leicester Riders 10 16 17 19

FT Essex Sports Arena · United KingdomEssex Sports Arena

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

ESS -12.5 1.39 66%

Essex Rebels −12.5 on the spread edge −1.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ESS -12.5 1.39 Essex Rebels −12.5 on the spread Confidence66% model 65.5% · market 66.9% edge −1.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 85.7% 89.8% −4.1% 85% Won

Total points U159.5 1.40 81.1% 65.4% +15.7% 63% Won

Point spread ESS -12.5 1.39 65.5% 66.9% −1.4% 66% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Essex Rebels9478

Leicester Riders6259

Total 137 actual 156

Winning margin ESS by 19 actual ESS by 32

Chance to win ESS 86% ESS won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Essex Rebels9478

Leicester Riders6259

Total 137 Margin ESS by 19 Win ESS 86% Actual 156 · ESS won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Essex Rebels large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Leicester Riders

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Essex Rebels vs Leicester Riders

Essex Rebels Leicester Riders

Last 23 and 20 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Essex Rebels 3-2

Oct 4: Caledonia Gladiators 86, Essex Rebels 57. Lost. Odds: Caledonia Gladiators 1.07, Essex Rebels 6.80.
May 10: Caledonia Gladiators 80, Essex Rebels 58. Lost. No odds on record.
May 2: Essex Rebels 93, BA London Lions 72. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 25: Essex Rebels 85, Manchester Basketball 72. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Nottingham Wildcats 70, Essex Rebels 81. Won. No odds on record.

Leicester Riders 1-4

Oct 4: Leicester Riders 70, Newcastle Eagles 91. Lost. Odds: Leicester Riders 5.00, Newcastle Eagles 1.14.
Apr 25: Leicester Riders 70, Cardiff Met Archers 66. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Sheffield Hatters 106, Leicester Riders 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 12: Essex Rebels 96, Leicester Riders 56. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Leicester Riders 64, Caledonia Gladiators 98. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ESS moneyline	1.02	moved up 1.12
LEI moneyline	9.00	moved down 5.30
Total points	152.5	152.5
ESS spread	−19.5	moved up −17.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

SLB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Caledonia Gladiators	5	5	0	10	471	324	+147
2	Manchester Basketball	5	5	0	10	475	339	+136
3	Oaklands Wolves	5	4	1	9	425	375	+50
4	Sheffield Hatters	5	3	2	8	415	370	+45
5	Newcastle Eagles	5	3	2	8	418	410	+8
6	BA London Lions	5	2	3	7	393	407	−14
7	Cardiff Met Archers	5	2	3	7	409	446	−37
8	Essex Rebels	5	1	4	6	386	423	−37
9	Leicester Riders	5	0	5	5	330	455	−125
10	Nottingham Wildcats	5	0	5	5	292	465	−173

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Essex Rebels host Leicester Riders in the SLB Women on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.