Esgueira vs FC Porto Prediction & Odds

LPB Friday, October 16, 2026Fri, Oct 16 Start16:00ET Round 3

EsgueiraHome · 0-5 · 12th · 10.50

9127191431

FC PortoAway · 4-1 · 2nd · 1.02

9525242224

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Esgueira 27 19 14 31

FC Porto 25 24 22 24

FT Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira · PortugalPavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

ESG +25.5 1.55 74%

Esgueira +25.5 on the spread edge +6.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ESG +25.5 1.55 Esgueira +25.5 on the spread Confidence74% model 62.1% · market 55.3% edge +6.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.02 76.2% 90.8% −14.6% 85% Won

Total points U174.5 1.42 66.5% 65.6% +0.9% 76% Lost

Point spread ESG +25.5 1.55 62.1% 55.3% +6.8% 74% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Esgueira9177

FC Porto9590

Total 167 actual 186

Winning margin POR by 13 actual POR by 4

Chance to win POR 76% POR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Esgueira9177

FC Porto9590

Total 167 Margin POR by 13 Win POR 76% Actual 186 · POR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Esgueira large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction FC Porto

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Esgueira vs FC Porto

Esgueira FC Porto

Last 27 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Esgueira 1-4

Oct 10: Sporting CP 88, Esgueira 60. Lost. Odds: Sporting CP 1.01, Esgueira 10.50.
Oct 3: Esgueira 64, CD Povoa 84. Lost. Odds: Esgueira 6.00, CD Povoa 1.10.
May 14: Esgueira 73, Sporting CP 85. Lost. No odds on record.
May 10: Sporting CP 109, Esgueira 67. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 25: FC Porto 85, Esgueira 86. Won. No odds on record.

FC Porto 4-1

Oct 11: FC Porto 93, Benfica 86. Won. Odds: FC Porto 1.75, Benfica 1.95.
Oct 7: Bonn 78, FC Porto 74. Lost. Odds: Bonn 1.25, FC Porto 3.70.
Oct 2: CA Queluz 93, FC Porto 110. Won. Odds: CA Queluz 7.00, FC Porto 1.06.
Sep 26: FC Porto 80, Sporting CP 76. Won. Odds: FC Porto 1.44, Sporting CP 2.64.
Jun 14: FC Porto 75, Benfica 71. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ESG moneyline	10.00	moved up 10.50
POR moneyline	1.01	moved up 1.02
Total points	166.5	moved up 168.5
ESG spread	+22.5	+22.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LPB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	9	409	370	+39
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	9	467	430	+37
3	Benfica	5	4	1	9	437	375	+62
4	Braga	5	4	1	9	457	396	+61
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	7	375	363	+12
6	Sporting CP	5	2	3	7	400	405	−5
7	Vitoria	4	2	2	6	300	328	−28
8	CD Povoa	4	2	2	6	297	291	+6
9	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	6	431	446	−15
10	CA Queluz	4	2	2	6	356	375	−19
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	5	380	443	−63
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	5	388	475	−87

Quarter-finals
Relegation - Proliga

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Esgueira host FC Porto in the LPB on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.