Esgueira vs CD Povoa prediction
Esgueira
25
7
20
12
CD Povoa
16
25
17
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Esgueira6476CD Povoa8486Esgueira6476CD Povoa8486Total 162 Margin POV by 10 Win POV 70% Actual 148 · POV won
Esgueira
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction CD Povoa
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Esgueira vs CD Povoa
Esgueira
CD Povoa
Last 27 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Esgueira at home, last 14 games · CD Povoa away, last 17
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Esgueira
1-4 - May 14: Esgueira 73, Sporting CP 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Sporting CP 109, Esgueira 67. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: FC Porto 85, Esgueira 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Esgueira 65, Benfica 107. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Vitoria 93, Esgueira 87. Lost. No odds on record.
CD Povoa
3-2 - May 31: CD Povoa 90, CAB Madeira 72. Won. No odds on record.
- May 30: CD Povoa 78, CAB Madeira 61. Won. No odds on record.
- May 24: CAB Madeira 90, CD Povoa 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: CD Povoa 90, Portimonense 86. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- May 16: CD Povoa 68, Portimonense 71. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on CD Povoa dropped from 1.41 to 1.10 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 160.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 23.2 — Esgueira −14.2 per 100 possessions, CD Povoa +9.0.
- 1-4 in the last five for Esgueira.
- 12th vs 8th in the LPB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ESG moneyline | 2.70 | moved up 6.00 |
| POV moneyline | 1.41 | moved down 1.10 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| ESG spread | +26.5 | moved up +27.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LPB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 409 | 370 | +39 |
| 2 |  FC Porto |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 467 | 430 | +37 |
| 3 |  Benfica |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 437 | 375 | +62 |
| 4 |  Braga |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 457 | 396 | +61 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 363 | +12 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 400 | 405 | −5 |
| 7 |  Vitoria |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 300 | 328 | −28 |
| 8 | CD Povoa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 291 | +6 |
| 9 |  CAB Madeira |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 431 | 446 | −15 |
| 10 |  CA Queluz |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 375 | −19 |
| 11 |  Portimonense |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 380 | 443 | −63 |
| 12 | Esgueira |
5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 388 | 475 | −87 |
- Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Proliga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Esgueira host CD Povoa in the LPB on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.