Esgueira vs Barcelos Prediction & Odds

LFB Women Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start13:30ET Round 3

EsgueiraHome · 2-3 · 8th · 1.75

8930192416

BarcelosAway · 1-4 · 9th · 1.93

7618211819

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Esgueira 30 19 24 16

Barcelos 18 21 18 19

FT Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira · PortugalPavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira · Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

BAR +3.5 1.80 74%

Barcelos +3.5 on the spread edge +12.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost BAR +3.5 1.80 Barcelos +3.5 on the spread Confidence74% model 62.1% · market 49.6% edge +12.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 2.15 42.6% 41.4% +1.2% 51% Lost

Total points U144.5 1.84 52.0% 49.6% +2.4% 54% Lost

Point spread BAR +3.5 1.80 62.1% 49.6% +12.5% 74% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Esgueira8972

Barcelos7672

Total 144 actual 165

Winning margin — actual ESG by 13

Chance to win BAR 53% ESG won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Esgueira8972

Barcelos7672

Total 144 Win BAR 53% Actual 165 · ESG won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Esgueira large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Barcelos

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Esgueira vs Barcelos

Esgueira Barcelos

Last 27 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Esgueira 1-4

Oct 11: Quinta Dos Lombos 61, Esgueira 53. Lost. Odds: Quinta Dos Lombos 1.19, Esgueira 3.95.
Oct 4: Esgueira 70, SC Coimbroes 66. Won. Odds: Esgueira 1.26, SC Coimbroes 3.35.
Apr 11: Benfica 75, Esgueira 69. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 4: Esgueira 67, Benfica 96. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 22: SC Coimbroes 66, Esgueira 62. Lost. No odds on record.

Barcelos 2-3

Oct 11: Barcelos 82, CDEFF 64. Won. Odds: Barcelos 1.31, CDEFF 3.15.
Oct 5: Barcelos 71, CAB Madeira 81. Lost. Odds: Barcelos 1.28, CAB Madeira 3.25.
Apr 25: Benfica 74, Barcelos 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Barcelos 59, Benfica 70. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 11: Imortal 99, Barcelos 103. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ESG moneyline	1.50	moved up 1.75
BAR moneyline	2.50	moved down 1.93
Total points	144.5	144.5
ESG spread	−3.5	−3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LFB Women standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	CAB Madeira	5	5	0	10	391	347	+44
2	Benfica	5	4	1	9	409	329	+80
3	Quinta Dos Lombos	5	4	1	9	372	308	+64
4	Sporting CP	5	4	1	9	359	309	+50
5	Uniao Sportiva	5	3	2	8	376	378	−2
6	Sanjoanense	5	3	2	8	372	406	−34
7	Gdessa Barreiro	5	2	3	7	392	391	+1
8	Esgueira	5	2	3	7	343	359	−16
9	Barcelos	5	1	4	6	371	388	−17
10	GDRAR	5	1	4	6	329	374	−45
11	CDEFF	5	1	4	6	326	377	−51
12	SC Coimbroes	5	0	5	5	324	398	−74

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Esgueira host Barcelos in the LFB Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.