Elitzur Ashkelon vs Ironi Nahariya Prediction & Odds

Liga Leumit Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start06:45ET Round 3

Elitzur AshkelonHome · 2-1 · 3rd · 2.70

1092625182515

Ironi NahariyaAway · 2-1 · 7th · 1.33

1042528231810

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Elitzur Ashkelon 26 25 18 25 15

Ironi Nahariya 25 28 23 18 10

AOT Israel Round 3

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

IRO +1.5 1.31 75%

Ironi Nahariya +1.5 on the spread edge +2.6%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost IRO +1.5 1.31 Ironi Nahariya +1.5 on the spread Confidence75% model 75.6% · market 73.0% edge +2.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.33 72.1% 72.7% −0.6% 72% Lost

Total points U169.5 1.42 66.2% 65.4% +0.8% 66% Lost

Point spread IRO +1.5 1.31 75.6% 73.0% +2.6% 75% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Elitzur Ashkelon10977

Ironi Nahariya10485

Total 162 actual 213

Winning margin IRO by 8 actual ELI by 5

Chance to win IRO 72% ELI won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Elitzur Ashkelon10977

Ironi Nahariya10485

Total 162 Margin IRO by 8 Win IRO 72% Actual 213 · ELI won

Last five games

Elitzur Ashkelon 2-3

Oct 20: Hapoel Haifa 94, Elitzur Ashkelon 77. Lost. Odds: Hapoel Haifa 1.20, Elitzur Ashkelon 3.50.
Oct 16: Elitzur Ashkelon 88, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 68. Won. Odds: Elitzur Ashkelon 1.50, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2.40.
May 9: Elitzur Ashkelon 74, Maccabi Ashdod 76. Lost. No odds on record.
May 5: Maccabi Ashdod 91, Elitzur Ashkelon 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 28: Elitzur Yavne 68, Elitzur Ashkelon 80. Won. No odds on record.

Ironi Nahariya 2-3

Oct 22: Ironi Nahariya 71, Elitzur Yavne 58. Won. Odds: Ironi Nahariya 1.05, Elitzur Yavne 6.20.
Oct 16: Migdal Haemek 69, Ironi Nahariya 89. Won. Odds: Migdal Haemek 2.87, Ironi Nahariya 1.36.
Jun 11: Maccabi Ashdod 94, Ironi Nahariya 83. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 8: Ironi Nahariya 82, Maccabi Ashdod 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 4: Maccabi Ashdod 85, Ironi Nahariya 70. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ELI moneyline	3.33	moved down 2.70
IRO moneyline	1.25	moved up 1.33
Total points	158.5	moved up 162.5
ELI spread	+7.5	moved down +5.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga Leumit standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Elitzur Maccabi Netanya	3	3	0	6	267	202	+65
2	Maccabi Raanana	3	3	0	6	262	231	+31
3	Elitzur Ashkelon	3	2	1	5	274	266	+8
4	Hapoel Haifa	3	2	1	5	263	222	+41
5	Elitzur Shomron	3	2	1	5	219	223	−4
6	Maccabi Rehovot	3	2	1	5	267	244	+23
7	Ironi Nahariya	3	2	1	5	264	236	+28
8	Otef Darom	3	1	2	4	226	243	−17
9	Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin	3	1	2	4	267	270	−3
10	Maccabi Petah Tikva	2	1	1	3	181	178	+3
11	H. Hevel Modiin	2	1	1	3	151	159	−8
12	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	3	0	3	3	227	263	−36
13	Ramat Hasharon	2	1	1	3	165	169	−4
14	Elitzur Yavne	3	0	3	3	199	253	−54
15	Migdal Haemek	3	0	3	3	207	280	−73

Super League
Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play Out

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Elitzur Ashkelon host Ironi Nahariya in the Liga Leumit on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions