El Talar vs Ferro prediction
El Talar
18
17
22
14
Ferro
20
28
11
11
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
El Talar7175Ferro7070El Talar7175Ferro7070Total 145 Margin ELX by 5 Win ELX 61% Actual 141 · ELX won
El Talar vs Ferro
El Talar
Ferro
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: El Talar 3, Ferro 2.
- Average total 142.8 points per meeting
- Over 132.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ELX by 2 Feb 24, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 24, 2026 Liga Femenina Women El Talar 69–67 Ferro 136 pts
- Feb 22, 2026 Liga Femenina Women Ferro 77–73 El Talar 150 pts
- Feb 6, 2026 Liga Femenina Women Ferro 80–84 OT El Talar 164 pts · OT
- Dec 12, 2025 Liga Femenina Women El Talar 54–67 Ferro 121 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 Liga Femenina Women El Talar 77–66 Ferro 143 pts
Last five games
El Talar
3-2 - May 8: Obras Sanitarias 80, El Talar 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: El Talar 55, Obras Sanitarias 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Hindu 52, El Talar 56. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 19: El Talar 67, Hindu 53. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: El Talar 78, Independiente Neuquen 55. Won. No odds on record.
Ferro
3-2 - Oct 4: Ferro 94, Defensor 82. Won. Odds: Ferro 1.30, Defensor 3.10.
- Oct 2: Ferro 59, SESI Araraquara 64. Lost. Odds: Ferro 1.65, SESI Araraquara 2.05.
- Oct 1: Leones Quilpue 75, Ferro 59. Lost. Odds: Leones Quilpue 1.21, Ferro 3.80.
- Sep 30: Ferro 78, Defensor 76. Won. Odds: Ferro 1.55, Defensor 2.25.
- May 23: Obras Sanitarias 69, Ferro 75. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on El Talar dropped from 3.00 to 2.52 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 130.5 to 132.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for El Talar.
- 142.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 132.5.
- 1st vs 3rd in the Liga Femenina Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ELX moneyline | 3.00 | moved down 2.52 |
| FER moneyline | 1.35 | moved up 1.44 |
| Total points | 130.5 | moved up 132.5 |
| ELX spread | +5.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Liga Femenina Women standings
Apertura · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Talar |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 290 | 241 | +49 |
| 2 |  Obras Sanitarias |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 296 | 281 | +15 |
| 3 | Ferro |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 456 | 365 | +91 |
| 4 |  Berazategui |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 288 | 269 | +19 |
| 5 |  Union Florida |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 262 | 270 | −8 |
| 6 |  Avellaneda |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 238 | 259 | −21 |
| 7 | Regatas San Nicolas | 6 | 1 | 5 | .167 | 328 | 473 | −145 |
- Apertura - Quadrangular
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
El Talar host Ferro in the Liga Femenina Women on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.