El Calor de Cancun vs Gambusinos prediction
El Calor de Cancun
29
23
15
15
Gambusinos
12
20
19
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
El Calor de Cancun8286Gambusinos7182El Calor de Cancun8286Gambusinos7182Total 168 Margin ECD by 4 Win ECD 58% Actual 153 · ECD won
El Calor de Cancun
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Gambusinos
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
El Calor de Cancun vs Gambusinos
El Calor de Cancun
Gambusinos
Last 25 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions
El Calor de Cancun at home, last 13 games · Gambusinos away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: El Calor de Cancun 2, Gambusinos 1.
- Average total 157.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ECD by 7 Oct 2, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 2, 2026 LNBP El Calor de Cancun 74–67 Gambusinos 141 pts
- Sep 20, 2025 LNBP Gambusinos 88–93 El Calor de Cancun 181 pts
- Sep 19, 2025 LNBP Gambusinos 81–68 El Calor de Cancun 149 pts
Last five games
El Calor de Cancun
1-4 - Sep 26: Fuerza Regia 95, El Calor de Cancun 89. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.16, El Calor de Cancun 4.33.
- Sep 25: Fuerza Regia 82, El Calor de Cancun 74. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.15, El Calor de Cancun 4.70.
- Sep 21: El Calor de Cancun 83, Diablos Rojos 86. Lost. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.05, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 20: El Calor de Cancun 86, Diablos Rojos 74. Won. Odds: El Calor de Cancun 2.02, Diablos Rojos 1.70.
- Sep 16: Dorados 97, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.65.
Gambusinos
3-2 - Sep 26: Gambusinos 102, Correcaminos 83. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.25, Correcaminos 3.40.
- Sep 25: Gambusinos 103, Correcaminos 90. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.29, Correcaminos 3.30.
- Sep 21: Mineros 87, Gambusinos 85. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.30, Gambusinos 3.10.
- Sep 20: Mineros 89, Gambusinos 96. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
- Sep 16: Gambusinos 78, Santos 109. Lost. Odds: Gambusinos 1.93, Santos 1.78.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for El Calor de Cancun coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on El Calor de Cancun dropped from 1.93 to 1.75 since they were first published.
- 4-12 away for Gambusinos this season.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for El Calor de Cancun.
- 157.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ECD moneyline | 1.93 | moved down 1.75 |
| GAM moneyline | 1.78 | moved up 1.98 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| ECD spread · regulation | +1.5 | moved down −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soles |
28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 |
| 2 |  Astros |
28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 |
| 3 |  Fuerza Regia |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 |
| 4 |  Panteras |
28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 |
| 5 |  Lobos Plateados |
28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 |
| 6 |  Dorados |
28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 |
| 7 |  Mineros |
28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 |
| 8 |  Abejas |
28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 |
| 9 |  Diablos Rojos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 |
| 10 | Gambusinos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 |
| 11 |  Santos |
28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 |
| 12 | El Calor de Cancun |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 |
| 13 |  Freseros |
28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos |
28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
El Calor de Cancun host Gambusinos in the LNBP on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.