El Calor de Cancun vs Diablos Rojos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Win ECD 52% Actual 160 · ECD won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
El Calor de Cancun vs Diablos Rojos
Last 25 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
El Calor de Cancun at home, last 13 games · Diablos Rojos away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: El Calor de Cancun 0, Diablos Rojos 5.
- Average total 169.6 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DIA by 3 Sep 21, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 21, 2026 LNBP El Calor de Cancun 83–86 Diablos Rojos 169 pts
- Sep 27, 2025 LNBP El Calor de Cancun 83–84 Diablos Rojos 167 pts
- Sep 26, 2025 LNBP El Calor de Cancun 71–73 Diablos Rojos 144 pts
- Jul 6, 2025 LNBP Diablos Rojos 95–86 El Calor de Cancun 181 pts
- Jul 5, 2025 LNBP Diablos Rojos 105–82 El Calor de Cancun 187 pts
Last five games
- Sep 16: Dorados 97, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.65.
- Sep 15: Dorados 91, El Calor de Cancun 89. Lost. Odds: Dorados 1.42, El Calor de Cancun 2.67.
- Sep 11: El Calor de Cancun 82, Panteras 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 10: El Calor de Cancun 103, Panteras 88. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 30: Soles 89, El Calor de Cancun 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 16: Diablos Rojos 96, Correcaminos 91. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.24, Correcaminos 3.70.
- Sep 15: Diablos Rojos 107, Correcaminos 79. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 1.36, Correcaminos 2.90.
- Sep 10: Mineros 98, Diablos Rojos 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 9: Mineros 75, Diablos Rojos 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 30: Diablos Rojos 82, Santos 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for El Calor de Cancun coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Diablos Rojos.
- Over/under moved down from 173.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- −6.4 points away — Diablos Rojos averaged 85.7 at home and 79.3 away this season.
- 169.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 171.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ECD moneyline | 2.07 | moved down 2.02 |
| DIA moneyline | 1.67 | moved up 1.70 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved down 171.5 |
| ECD spread · regulation | +1.5 | +1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
El Calor de Cancun host Diablos Rojos in the LNBP on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.