Dziki Warszawa vs Lublin prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 181 Margin DZI by 15 Win DZI 85% Actual 174 · DZI won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Dziki Warszawa vs Lublin
Last 14 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dziki Warszawa 2, Lublin 0.
- Average total 176.0 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DZI by 31 Apr 4, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 4, 2026 Energa Basket Liga Dziki Warszawa 103–72 Lublin 175 pts
- Dec 7, 2025 Energa Basket Liga Lublin 76–101 Dziki Warszawa 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 6: Tartu Ulikool 76, Dziki Warszawa 103. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 4.24, Dziki Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 2: Trefl Sopot 63, Dziki Warszawa 102. Won. Odds: Trefl Sopot 2.35, Dziki Warszawa 1.50.
- Sep 26: Dziki Warszawa 77, Zielona Gora 81. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.42, Zielona Gora 2.60.
- Sep 20: Dziki Warszawa 82, Vechta 93. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 2.30, Vechta 1.55.
- Sep 19: Dziki Warszawa 113, Breogan 110. Won. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 5.50, Breogan 1.11.
- Oct 3: Lublin 79, Ostrow Wielkopolski 84. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Lublin 1.77, Ostrow Wielkopolski 1.98.
- May 6: Dabrowa Gornicza 105, Lublin 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 3: Lublin 80, Gdynia 101. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Lublin 86, GTK Gliwice 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 18: Gornik Walbrzych 81, Lublin 86. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Lublin coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lublin dropped from 5.80 to 3.85 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Lublin, 4 for Dziki Warszawa.
- Net rating difference of 19.8 — Dziki Warszawa +8.4 per 100 possessions, Lublin −11.4.
- 2nd vs 14th in the Energa Basket Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DZI moneyline | 1.12 | moved down 1.11 |
| LUB moneyline | 5.80 | moved down 3.85 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| DZI spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Energa Basket Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 457 | 412 | +45 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 453 | 372 | +81 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 429 | 388 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 432 | 432 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 399 | 398 | +1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 436 | 395 | +41 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 423 | 407 | +16 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 418 | −18 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 422 | +6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 403 | 412 | −9 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 434 | 448 | −14 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 442 | 467 | −25 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 392 | 411 | −19 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 375 | 420 | −45 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 391 | 420 | −29 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 395 | 467 | −72 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play-in
- Relegation - 1. Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dziki Warszawa host Lublin in the Energa Basket Liga on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.