Dziki Warszawa vs AEK Larnaca prediction
Dziki Warszawa
29
19
17
29
AEK Larnaca
14
20
31
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Dziki Warszawa9489AEK Larnaca8086Dziki Warszawa9489AEK Larnaca8086Total 175 Margin DZI by 3 Win DZI 58% Actual 174 · DZI won
Dziki Warszawa
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction AEK Larnaca
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Dziki Warszawa vs AEK Larnaca
Dziki Warszawa
AEK Larnaca
Last 14 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
Dziki Warszawa at home, last 6 games · AEK Larnaca away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Dziki Warszawa
3-2 - Oct 11: Dziki Warszawa 97, Lublin 77. Won. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.11, Lublin 3.85.
- Oct 6: Tartu Ulikool 76, Dziki Warszawa 103. Won. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 4.24, Dziki Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 2: Trefl Sopot 63, Dziki Warszawa 102. Won. Odds: Trefl Sopot 2.35, Dziki Warszawa 1.50.
- Sep 26: Dziki Warszawa 77, Zielona Gora 81. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.42, Zielona Gora 2.60.
- Sep 20: Dziki Warszawa 82, Vechta 93. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 2.30, Vechta 1.55.
AEK Larnaca
3-2 - Oct 11: Apollon 56, AEK Larnaca 90. Won. Odds: Apollon 4.65, AEK Larnaca 1.14.
- Oct 7: AEK Larnaca 73, Wurzburg 65. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 3.40, Wurzburg 1.26.
- Sep 16: CSM Oradea 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.08, AEK Larnaca 6.50.
- May 25: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 21: Keravnos 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Dziki Warszawa coming into this game.
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- 2nd vs 1st in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
- Different pace — Dziki Warszawa averaged 78.5 possessions per game, AEK Larnaca 72.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DZI moneyline | 1.14 | moved up 1.16 |
| LAR moneyline | 5.47 | moved down 4.88 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 171.5 |
| DZI spread | −10.5 | moved down −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group E
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 337 | 321 | +16 |
| 2 | Dziki Warszawa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 332 | +13 |
| 3 |  Iraklis |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 339 | 319 | +20 |
| 4 |  Wurzburg |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 316 | 298 | +18 |
| 5 |  Tartu Ulikool |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 365 | 394 | −29 |
| 6 |  MZT Skopje |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 331 | −38 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dziki Warszawa host AEK Larnaca in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.