Dubrovnik vs Zadar prediction
Dubrovnik
16
15
18
22
Zadar
14
30
29
32
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Dubrovnik7175Zadar10584Dubrovnik7175Zadar10584Total 159 Margin ZAD by 9 Win ZAD 71% Actual 176 · ZAD won
Dubrovnik
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zadar
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Dubrovnik vs Zadar
Dubrovnik
Zadar
Last 6 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Dubrovnik at home, last 4 games · Zadar away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Dubrovnik 0, Zadar 5.
- Average total 150.4 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAD by 13 May 25, 2026
Meetings
- May 25, 2026 Premijer liga Dubrovnik 68–81 Zadar 149 pts
- May 22, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 83–57 Dubrovnik 140 pts
- Apr 10, 2026 Premijer liga Zadar 100–70 Dubrovnik 170 pts
- Feb 8, 2026 Premijer liga Dubrovnik 67–79 Zadar 146 pts
- Nov 23, 2025 Premijer liga Zadar 83–64 Dubrovnik 147 pts
Last five games
Dubrovnik
2-3 - Oct 24: Dubrava 80, Dubrovnik 84. Won. Odds: Dubrava 1.53, Dubrovnik 2.20.
- Oct 17: Dubrovnik 81, Kvarner 91. Lost. Odds: Dubrovnik 1.72, Kvarner 1.72.
- Oct 10: Dubrovnik 92, Zabok 79. Won. Odds: Dubrovnik 1.78, Zabok 1.93.
- Oct 3: Dinamo Zagreb 94, Dubrovnik 85. Lost. Odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.35, Dubrovnik 2.92.
- Sep 26: Dubrovnik 66, Split 81. Lost. Odds: Dubrovnik 3.85, Split 1.22.
Zadar
4-1 - Oct 25: Zadar 95, Perspektiva Ilirija 70. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.28, Perspektiva Ilirija 3.00.
- Oct 23: Zadar 87, Dinamo Zagreb 61. Won. Odds: Zadar 1.03, Dinamo Zagreb 6.70.
- Oct 18: Split 73, Zadar 84. Won. Odds: Split 1.80, Zadar 1.88.
- Oct 16: Vienna Basket 78, Zadar 63. Lost. Odds: Vienna Basket 1.49, Zadar 2.65.
- Oct 12: Virtus Zagreb 56, Zadar 87. Won. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 4.30, Zadar 1.18.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Zadar coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Zadar.
- Over/under moved up from 156.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 36.0 — Dubrovnik −11.7 per 100 possessions, Zadar +24.3.
- 150.4 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 160.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| DUB moneyline | 7.50 | moved down 6.50 |
| ZAD moneyline | 1.03 | moved up 1.04 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| DUB spread | +15.5 | +15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 |
| 2 |  Cibona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 |
| 3 |  Kvarner |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 |
| 4 |  Split |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 |
| 6 |  Skrljevo |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 |
| 7 |  Virtus Zagreb |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 |
| 8 |  Zabok |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 |
| 9 | Dubrovnik |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 |
| 10 |  Alkar |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 |
| 11 |  Samobor |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 |
| 12 |  Dubrava |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Dubrovnik host Zadar in the Premijer liga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.